Saturday, December 10, 2022

Watch the D3 Datacast on YouTube!

 Matt and Zac Snyder created a YouTube show beginning with the 2022-23 season to discuss Division 3 basketball. Topics covered include Regional Ranking data, Efficiency Ratings data, Upset Watch, our picks of the week, and a variety of other MBB topics.

Check out the channel using this link!

Monday, August 15, 2022

Division III Basketball Efficiency Ratings 2021-2022

Submitted here for the official record are the final FFTMAG efficiency ratings for the 2021-22 season. See below for a brief explanation of the methods. The current-year's data will be posted on this page when available.

Below is an attempt at replicating Ken Pomeroy's excellent Division I efficiency ratings for Division III teams. Only D3 vs. D3 games are included in the data set and team records. No Division I, II, NAIA, NCCAA, or other opponents are included.

All stats come from NCAA.org. If box score data hasn't been reported to that site, it won't be in this data set yet.

A brief explanation of the ratings and method:

AdjEM - Adjusted Efficiency Margin - This is the number of points (per 100 possessions) by which the team in question would be expected to beat an average team. This is that category by which teams are ranked overall.

AdjO - Adjusted Offense - This is the number of points (per 100 possessions) that the team in question would be expected to score against an average defense.

AdjD - Adjusted Defense - This is the number of points (per 100 possessions) that the team in question would be expected to allow against an average offense.

AdjT - Adjusted Tempo - This is the speed, in possessions per 40 minutes, at which the team in question would be expected to play against an average team.

OppEM/O/D - Opponents - These columns represent the average adjusted efficiency margin, offensive rating, and defensive rating of a team's opponents. These give an idea of a team's strength of schedule.

NCSOS OppEM - Non-conference - This column is the average adjusted efficiency margin of a team's non-conference opponents.

Adj - Adjusted - Raw offensive, defensive, and tempo ratings are calculated for each game using box score data. These numbers go through an automatic iterative process until they stabilize in an attempt to account for game tempo and quality of opposition. For example: if Calvin plays a "system" team like Grinnell in a game that results in 95 possessions, they shouldn't necessarily be seen as a fast team (simply because they played a fast opponent). Their adjusted game tempo would be a more NCAA-average 75 (or so) since 95 possessions per game is how fast average teams play against Grinnell. The same process applies to offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. Each game number is adjusted to account for quality of opposition (a 'good' offensive output against a lowly defense might end up looking only average). The number next to each column is the team's overall rank in that category.

  D3D3D3D3D3SOSSOSSOSSOSNCSOS
RankTeamConfW-LAdjEMAdjOAdjDAdjTWin50OppEMOppOOppDOppEM
1Randolph-MaconODAC33-1+38.0122.884.865.8+13.9+11.1105.694.5+16.7
2Wis.-OshkoshWIAC23-4+29.4115.786.370.8+14.0+12.2107.495.3+8.1
3Wesleyan (CT)NESCAC25-4+28.4116.988.574.4+8.9+8.9102.193.3+3.1
4Johns HopkinsCC23-4+28.4112.684.270.5+1.2+5.6102.797.1+11.9
5WPINEWMAC27-3+28.3112.484.168.8+8.5+8.1103.895.7+10.4
6Chris. NewportC2C27-3+27.8115.787.973.7+11.2+9.0104.595.5+9.8
7MariettaOAC29-3+27.6120.893.272.2+10.8+11.5106.995.4+18.4
8Oswego St.SUNYAC27-3+27.2111.083.872.4+3.1+1.6100.598.9+10.0
9SwarthmoreCC22-6+27.0115.288.272.8+2.4+4.3100.996.6+5.9
10Saint Joseph (CT)GNAC25-2+26.5108.982.475.9-3.7-0.998.699.5+16.5
11YeshivaSKY24-4+25.4115.189.773.7-4.9-3.196.399.3+4.9
12UMass DartmouthLEC26-5+24.1113.389.176.3+8.3+7.1103.296.2+10.2
13EmoryUAA20-6+24.1115.991.873.6+15.4+14.1107.593.4+12.9
14Wis.-PlattevilleWIAC22-6+23.9111.687.770.1+11.1+9.9105.996.0+2.8
15WilliamsNESCAC19-5+23.4111.788.367.6+8.0+9.5103.694.1+1.4
16Wis.-La CrosseWIAC21-7+22.8111.888.969.8+12.7+11.6106.795.1+7.9
17Rochester (NY)UAA18-9+22.1106.584.570.7+12.0+11.0106.695.6+6.2
18Saint Johns (MN)MIAC23-5+21.9115.994.065.9+4.8+3.8102.798.8+12.9
19WashUUAA19-8+21.8106.885.069.8+9.6+9.8104.694.9+3.7
20ElmhurstCCIW27-7+21.7111.489.774.7+7.5+7.3105.498.1+5.8
21RensselaerLL23-6+21.7105.483.767.2+4.8+4.3101.497.1+6.1
22Ill. WesleyanCCIW24-6+21.4109.688.270.2+10.5+9.8106.396.6+11.5
23Mount UnionOAC23-5+21.4110.288.873.3+6.8+5.6104.098.4+0.2
24BrandeisUAA15-9+20.3110.990.668.5+12.2+13.1105.692.6+10.3
25AmherstNESCAC15-9+20.2106.085.971.4+8.4+4.9100.996.0-8.0
26Keene St.LEC21-7+19.9109.689.775.8+7.0+6.8103.396.5+7.8
27GuilfordODAC18-7+19.7107.988.367.7+8.1+7.2103.996.7+4.2
28CWRUUAA20-7+19.5115.896.376.0+9.6+9.9105.195.2+4.8
29CalvinMIAA21-8+19.0113.294.171.0+6.8+6.7103.296.5+14.2
30RoanokeODAC18-9+18.8104.285.471.1+10.8+8.9105.496.5+5.8
31WabashNCAC28-4+18.7120.7102.075.3+1.4+4.1102.898.7+14.9
32StocktonNJAC26-5+18.0111.493.473.0+6.9+4.8100.495.6+8.5
33Wheaton (IL)CCIW22-7+17.3113.296.072.3+6.8+8.1104.095.9+5.4
34Mary WashingtonC2C15-9+17.0108.391.370.1+7.8+7.3103.796.4+3.2
35TuftsNESCAC13-10+17.0106.789.872.1+10.1+10.1103.793.6+6.9
36Wis.-WhitewaterWIAC15-10+16.9110.693.770.9+12.7+10.0106.696.6+1.0
37Mary Hardin-BaylorASC26-3+16.9113.396.474.4+7.1+4.1102.598.4+9.4
38St. Thomas (TX)SCAC20-5+16.9106.389.470.8-0.6+1.399.598.2+6.0
39Penn St. HarrisburgUEC24-4+16.8108.691.871.6-3.5-6.394.9101.2+5.8
40Trinity (CT)NESCAC16-9+16.8103.086.372.5+6.4+5.6101.896.2-1.7
41HeidelbergOAC18-8+16.2111.895.674.6+8.4+7.3104.497.1+3.0
42AugsburgMIAC17-7+16.0113.197.072.9+0.7+2.8102.399.4+5.6
43BabsonNEWMAC19-8+16.0107.491.472.6+7.9+9.9104.394.4+12.7
44DubuqueARC21-7+15.8110.194.367.1+8.2+3.0101.998.9+4.1
45IthacaLL17-9+15.7109.293.576.0+6.3+5.0101.596.5+7.5
46Pomona-PitzerSCIAC21-4+15.6111.896.369.5+5.4+3.1102.799.6+7.0
47DeSalesMACF22-6+15.2108.793.567.8+0.2-1.399.3100.6+4.5
48WhitworthNWC22-5+15.2111.796.571.2-0.6+1.2101.4100.2+6.3
49EmersonNEWMAC18-8+15.2108.593.376.4+9.0+9.4104.595.0+10.3
50HoodMACC20-7+15.0115.7100.773.3+3.9+6.3102.095.7+12.9
51Hampden-SydneyODAC14-11+15.0108.493.572.7+10.8+8.6103.695.1+8.5
52Trinity (TX)SCAC23-6+14.9106.391.578.4+2.2+2.4100.998.6+6.7
53BerrySAA23-3+14.4106.592.168.7+1.8-1.999.2101.1-3.1
54UW-River FallsWIAC14-10+14.4108.594.172.1+12.7+10.9106.695.7+1.1
55TrineMIAA18-9+14.3101.286.969.5+2.4+3.7102.799.0+6.6
56HopeMIAA21-6+14.3109.194.872.6+6.6+5.2102.997.7+11.6
57Maryville (TN)USAC18-4+14.2106.292.075.9+0.2-1.4100.0101.3+4.3
58RowanNJAC23-6+13.9103.990.091.6+4.1+3.7100.196.5+2.3
59MiddleburyNESCAC18-6+13.8107.393.472.9+7.7+6.5101.494.9-0.2
60Wash. & LeeODAC12-11+13.6109.896.277.1+4.3+5.5102.797.2+2.9
61SusquehannaLAND24-5+13.6112.298.670.9+1.0+2.0100.198.1+6.8
62HanoverHCAC21-5+13.3111.598.269.4-2.1-1.5100.7102.3-3.6
63NicholsCCC25-4+13.2109.996.779.9+6.5+3.5100.496.9+11.4
64NazarethE824-5+13.2107.794.571.3-2.6-0.198.898.9+6.1
65Baldwin WallaceOAC15-10+13.1107.794.674.5+8.4+7.7105.297.5+6.3
66CoeARC20-6+13.1107.294.172.0+3.7+1.0101.1100.1-1.4
67Wis.-StoutWIAC16-9+13.0113.2100.277.4+9.6+6.6104.197.5-2.9
68Hardin-SimmonsASC17-8+12.7108.295.472.0-0.1+2.0101.099.0+1.7
69St. John FisherE819-7+12.7105.692.977.3-4.3-1.898.8100.6+3.8
70North Central (IL)CCIW17-10+12.5110.297.670.3+8.7+7.5104.296.6+1.1
71Rutgers-NewarkNJAC20-9+12.499.587.166.9+4.1+2.6100.097.4+0.3
72EasternMACC21-6+12.2105.493.275.5+1.8+5.1101.896.7+8.4
73ChapmanSCIAC20-5+12.1112.4100.369.3-0.6+2.2101.098.8+0.4
74SalisburyC2C9-11+12.0106.294.272.3+11.8+8.3103.795.4+4.0
75Va. WesleyanODAC18-9+12.0106.894.868.4+10.8+8.9105.096.1+9.8
76Westfield St.MASCAC22-5+11.9103.491.577.1-4.2-4.297.0101.2-1.6
77DrewLAND18-9+11.5105.393.974.3+1.2+0.799.799.0+3.0
78UticaE823-4+11.4103.592.169.0-5.9-3.397.2100.5-2.0
79LorasARC18-9+11.4112.1100.772.2+1.5+0.6101.3100.7-4.6
80CatholicLAND17-7+11.3102.491.170.7+0.8-2.397.799.9-3.1
81LynchburgODAC14-12+11.2105.093.872.6+9.9+6.9104.097.2+7.8
82Cal LutheranSCIAC17-8+10.9111.1100.274.4-3.1+1.5101.099.5+0.9
83CovenantUSAC18-7+10.5102.992.468.2-1.4-1.5100.0101.4+2.6
84Salve ReginaCCC20-6+10.499.388.972.2+1.2+1.1101.099.9+3.9
85SuffolkCCC16-10+10.2108.998.775.2+2.0+1.799.998.2+5.0
86LeTourneauASC22-5+10.1103.693.678.6+2.2+2.5101.799.2-1.8
87Wis.-Eau ClaireWIAC11-15+9.9104.794.769.6+13.4+11.3107.295.8+4.3
88Carnegie MellonUAA11-13+9.8100.690.875.9+9.1+12.1107.094.9+4.9
89OglethorpeSAA19-8+9.8106.396.576.0-1.4-1.998.3100.2-4.3
90SUNY BrockportSUNYAC18-8+9.597.788.277.3-2.2-1.498.6100.0-2.8
91ChathamPAC19-5+9.4100.691.274.8-4.3-8.294.4102.6-6.2
92Eastern Conn. St.LEC18-8+9.4105.095.671.5+5.9+6.0101.795.7+3.4
93Gust. AdolphusMIAC14-9+9.3108.399.172.5+4.1+5.7103.697.9+11.1
94MITNEWMAC12-13+9.3103.293.973.6+6.5+6.7103.096.3+3.8
95VassarLL18-9+9.2103.894.569.2+4.8+3.0100.096.9-4.8
96WartburgARC16-10+9.2105.596.375.0+6.9+4.1102.898.7+6.6
97OtterbeinOAC17-8+9.1107.198.067.7+0.4+6.3104.398.0+0.8
98Connecticut Col.NESCAC10-11+9.1102.393.269.2+7.9+7.5101.694.1+3.7
99HamiltonNESCAC12-13+9.095.786.671.5+8.9+7.6102.795.0+3.0
100MillikinCCIW14-12+9.099.290.269.6+4.9+5.3103.998.6-2.8
101CapitalOAC14-11+8.7102.794.070.6+0.4+5.4104.499.0-5.0
102NYUUAA14-11+8.6106.698.072.1+6.4+5.8102.796.9-8.8
103St. OlafMIAC16-11+8.5104.896.369.8+4.1+4.0103.399.4+3.8
104Plymouth St.LEC15-12+8.4104.095.673.3+5.6+4.7101.697.0-0.9
105Claremont-M-SSCIAC16-8+8.3102.193.770.7+0.8+2.2102.299.9+2.5
106N.C. WesleyanUSAC16-8+8.3106.398.074.3+2.0-0.199.799.8+9.1
107Buena VistaARC15-12+8.3106.998.673.0+10.5+5.9103.397.3+10.4
108WoosterNCAC19-9+8.2101.893.574.2+0.2-0.9101.3102.2-0.9
109ColbyNESCAC12-13+8.1103.495.372.3+8.9+8.3102.394.1+2.0
110Worcester St.MASCAC16-12+8.0101.893.875.6+2.5+0.999.798.8+8.4
111NeumannAEC19-8+8.0104.496.469.3-2.1-0.199.699.7+6.9
112East Tex. BaptistASC14-12+7.9105.397.470.8+3.8+2.6101.699.0+4.6
113Montclair St.NJAC14-10+7.9103.295.376.7+4.1+2.6100.497.7-8.7
114Albertus MagnusGNAC17-7+7.8105.898.077.9-4.7-0.397.798.0+3.3
115AverettUSAC17-12+7.8100.092.267.9+2.0+2.2101.899.6+10.7
116SkidmoreLL15-11+7.7101.193.473.2+5.6+4.4100.195.7-1.8
117Pacific LutheranNWC15-7+7.5102.995.470.6-1.3+1.5101.8100.4+6.7
118AlverniaMACC17-8+7.4103.996.576.2+1.8+2.8100.397.5+1.4
119Texas-DallasASC16-9+7.2104.697.471.6+4.1+3.5101.998.4+7.0
120Augustana (IL)CCIW11-15+7.1103.196.073.9+10.5+8.9104.996.0+6.2
121New Jersey CityNJAC11-15+7.1101.094.075.0+7.2+5.6101.195.6+15.0
122HendrixSAA17-10+7.1101.094.072.1-3.4-1.399.4100.6-2.2
123StevensMACF17-9+7.094.587.573.4+0.8+2.3100.498.1+13.2
124AlbionMIAA14-10+6.9102.595.672.3-0.9+3.1102.699.5+4.9
125Northwestern-St. PaulUMAC22-6+6.8108.3101.570.7-5.6-8.595.4103.9-3.9
126Clark (MA)NEWMAC18-8+6.799.292.578.6-0.4+2.3100.197.8-5.8
127EndicottCCC13-11+6.6102.796.173.3+1.6+0.199.899.7-2.3
128BatesNESCAC9-12+6.698.391.776.5+7.9+8.6103.194.5+1.6
129LinfieldNWC15-6+6.5106.7100.271.4-2.1-0.3100.5100.7+2.2
130HobartLL12-14+6.5104.597.972.8+7.5+6.2101.695.3+9.3
131ScrantonLAND13-11+6.5104.197.671.6+0.8+1.1100.499.3+5.5
132AlfredE817-10+6.4101.294.868.9-4.2-3.097.7100.6-0.5
133SUNY CortlandSUNYAC14-12+6.3109.6103.367.7-0.8-0.598.398.9+0.3
134Rhode Island Col.LEC14-12+6.3109.4103.175.2+5.5+2.8100.197.3-6.3
135Me.-FarmingtonNAC12-6+6.2107.9101.776.3-10.0-7.694.5102.1+1.1
136SUNY OneontaSUNYAC18-9+6.198.892.774.5-2.9-0.699.299.8-5.3
137Penn St.-BehrendAMCC19-7+6.0103.997.964.9-4.9-4.998.0102.9-2.8
138TransylvaniaHCAC16-9+5.9105.799.771.8-0.6+1.0101.9100.9+1.6
139Wash. & Jeff.PAC24-5+5.9102.096.182.7-4.9-6.495.1101.5-2.7
140Marymount (VA)AEC17-9+5.8100.294.473.6-2.5+0.598.898.3+6.4
141St. NorbertNACC16-10+5.8100.094.269.8+2.1+0.8101.0100.2+6.2
142UChicagoUAA10-15+5.8103.397.569.6+17.0+11.6106.995.3+3.7
143Western Conn. St.LEC13-12+5.799.493.772.8+5.4+1.7100.198.4-9.4
144UMass BostonLEC11-14+5.796.190.471.9+6.1+5.3102.997.5+1.6
145Wis. LutheranNACC16-9+5.6104.598.975.3-3.7-4.597.1101.6-5.5
146CarletonMIAC16-7+5.6103.397.770.4+0.7+1.0100.899.8-4.0
147Benedictine (IL)NACC12-13+5.599.694.170.6+0.4-0.1100.1100.2+9.0
148Concordia WisconsinNACC14-11+5.3106.7101.477.2+3.7+1.1100.399.2+14.9
149Penn St.-AltoonaAMCC19-8+5.2104.599.480.3-4.4-2.898.9101.7+2.1
150Farmingdale St.SKY19-8+5.1103.698.572.9-4.2-3.196.999.9+0.3
151St. LawrenceLL16-10+4.995.890.967.4+5.0+2.9100.597.6-3.2
152RiponMWC18-9+4.8100.395.568.8+1.4-1.2100.6101.8+8.9
153Cornell CollegeMWC19-9+4.5103.899.370.6-3.5-3.998.7102.6+2.2
154Rose-HulmanHCAC15-10+4.399.294.967.3+0.4+1.1102.3101.2+5.8
155Bethel (MN)MIAC12-13+4.3102.398.070.5+0.7+2.7102.199.3+7.3
156Concordia (TX)ASC9-15+4.3106.4102.280.0+4.6+3.5101.898.3+2.6
157Wm. PatersonNJAC15-13+4.1100.896.676.6+6.2+3.099.396.3-3.2
158Anderson (IN)HCAC16-10+4.199.395.371.4-0.4+0.9102.2101.3+3.9
159WidenerMACC13-14+4.0100.196.173.5+3.7+6.3104.197.9+8.4
160Salem St.MASCAC15-10+3.9104.1100.277.9+0.1-2.496.398.7+2.6
161UrsinusCC13-13+3.9109.3105.475.0+0.4+3.699.996.4-3.4
162Lancaster BibleUEC20-7+3.8105.0101.277.0-4.2-7.794.2102.0-1.2
163GettysburgCC15-10+3.795.792.073.2+0.4+4.2101.997.7-1.6
164PfeifferUSAC11-10+3.7107.3103.678.8+7.5+2.7100.898.1+16.1
165Union (NY)LL11-13+3.797.994.173.6+5.6+4.3100.396.0+1.5
166Centenary (LA)SCAC11-11+3.696.693.074.5-3.2-1.397.698.9-10.7
167Marian (WI)NACC18-9+3.6105.2101.671.1-3.5-3.797.7101.4-1.8
168CarthageCCIW9-16+3.3105.6102.473.7+8.7+4.3102.197.7-5.9
169ManhattanvilleSKY16-10+3.1100.497.367.7-5.1-3.196.399.5+1.9
170Ohio WesleyanNCAC15-11+2.9102.399.472.2+0.4+1.1102.4101.4+6.7
171Bethany LutheranUMAC14-12+2.8100.297.380.5-3.8-4.698.4103.0+3.9
172GrinnellMWC13-9+2.5108.9106.488.6-5.1-5.398.0103.4-1.8
173Mt. St. JosephHCAC10-15+2.4106.1103.767.4+0.2+0.8101.6100.8+1.2
174KeanNJAC14-10+2.3104.0101.773.4+5.5+1.297.796.4-9.2
175SchreinerSCAC15-12+2.3100.898.574.9-0.5+1.799.898.1+3.9
176Southern Va.USAC13-11+2.2101.799.472.6+1.8+0.8100.199.3+5.7
177Roger WilliamsCCC14-10+2.1104.0101.873.8+0.7+1.5100.799.3+4.6
178LasellGNAC15-11+2.199.697.574.3-4.9-1.498.299.6+5.6
179LaGrangeUSAC15-8+1.9103.7101.775.1+1.8+0.6100.299.6+3.8
180AlbrightMACC10-15+1.996.794.875.6+3.9+5.8102.997.1+6.7
181Birmingham-So.SAA11-15+1.8102.8101.077.7+0.7+0.3100.4100.1-1.5
182York (PA)MACC7-15+1.6101.299.671.4+2.8+4.2101.397.1+3.1
183Neb. WesleyanARC14-12+1.5103.1101.673.0+5.3+0.8100.9100.1-4.8
184SUNY PolyNAC18-10+1.597.696.172.8-9.7-7.595.0102.5-2.0
185SUNY New PaltzSUNYAC15-11+1.4100.298.876.9+4.7+0.899.498.6-0.9
186HaverfordCC13-12+1.496.695.372.1+0.4+3.8101.197.3+0.2
187La RocheAMCC16-12+1.3106.1104.872.4-4.4-1.5100.5102.1+6.2
188GordonCCC11-13+1.3101.299.976.5+2.9+0.699.999.3+4.0
189Illinois Col.MWC14-11+1.2100.799.471.0-3.5-5.597.6103.1-3.9
190MessiahMACC11-13+1.296.395.170.3+1.8+4.3101.697.3+3.1
191HussonNAC14-10+1.299.498.375.0-0.7-3.397.9101.2+8.0
192RedlandsSCIAC11-12+1.099.298.277.1-2.2+1.5101.099.5+0.1
193TCNJNJAC10-14+0.996.595.671.2+7.4+5.0101.396.4+4.6
194LycomingMACF17-11+0.998.697.871.1-1.6-0.298.798.9+3.6
195MacalesterMIAC15-13+0.8101.4100.668.4+4.1+2.0101.999.9-12.5
196JuniataLAND16-12+0.692.491.870.6-1.0-1.999.0100.9-3.9
197MuhlenbergCC9-16+0.6101.5101.071.3+1.2+4.5101.897.3+2.6
198DenisonNCAC13-13+0.599.098.570.8+0.4+1.9103.3101.4+7.7
199East. MennoniteODAC10-13+0.599.298.772.7+7.5+6.4103.296.8+5.3
200DePauwNCAC11-13+0.4105.2104.867.0+1.6+1.5101.499.9+6.8
201Concordia ChicagoNACC15-10+0.497.096.572.7-0.4-0.0100.2100.3+5.5
202St. Josephs (L.I.)SKY15-9+0.398.998.670.4-5.4-6.295.1101.4-13.0
203WittenbergNCAC13-12+0.3101.8101.671.2+0.4+0.8101.3100.6+4.0
204Western New Eng.CCC13-14+0.2102.5102.274.5+2.0+0.699.498.8-1.8
205BaruchCUNYAC20-8+0.297.997.773.6-11.2-7.694.1101.7-3.1
206ArcadiaMACF12-14+0.0100.7100.772.9-1.9-1.998.1100.0+1.3
207Sul Ross St.ASC10-16+0.096.996.874.1+4.1+2.3101.198.8-0.9
208StevensonMACC11-12-0.199.899.972.1+1.5-0.498.198.5-12.5
209Merchant MarineSKY15-10-0.195.895.970.4-4.9-5.994.9100.7-2.8
210WentworthCCC9-16-0.196.796.972.1+2.0+0.9100.499.5+0.7
211Franklin & MarshallCC10-15-0.297.597.771.7+3.5+5.1102.197.0+4.4
212Emmanuel (MA)GNAC15-11-0.298.698.872.1-7.5-4.896.3101.1-1.0
213FontbonneSLIAC14-5-0.296.696.976.3-9.8-8.996.0104.9+6.0
214McMurryASC9-15-0.3100.7101.081.4+4.1+3.3101.898.5+1.7
215MuskingumOAC6-20-0.4102.9103.273.0+8.4+6.9103.796.8+1.8
216WhitmanNWC11-12-0.5101.3101.874.0-2.1+1.6102.1100.5+3.1
217Texas LutheranSCAC10-15-0.596.496.972.0+2.2+1.499.598.1+3.1
218RockfordNACC14-9-0.5104.8105.376.8-3.7-6.095.9101.9-14.4
219New England Col.NECC11-13-0.596.797.282.7-2.9-4.997.8102.7-0.6
220LehmanCUNYAC21-4-0.697.197.674.4-12.2-11.792.1103.8-13.1
221CentreSAA11-12-0.7101.5102.269.1-1.4-1.698.4100.0-3.9
222BowdoinNESCAC12-14-0.797.197.874.1+7.9+4.9101.196.2-5.0
223Wis.-Stevens PointWIAC4-17-0.998.799.669.9+14.0+13.5108.194.6+5.0
224PiedmontUSAC9-16-1.591.793.271.1-0.6-2.7100.1102.8-2.2
225John CarrollOAC8-16-1.7105.8107.577.4+8.4+5.3103.598.2-3.5
226Coast GuardNEWMAC5-18-1.796.297.978.1+8.9+7.6103.596.0+4.6
227Delaware ValleyMACF14-10-1.993.795.677.5-2.2-3.598.2101.7-3.3
228Crown (MN)UMAC15-13-1.998.9100.873.4-5.0-5.498.0103.4+1.2
229George FoxNWC10-14-2.098.7100.675.2-0.6+0.6101.2100.6+1.3
230Lebanon ValleyMACC7-18-2.198.1100.270.8+1.8+4.5102.097.5+2.1
231FranklinHCAC14-15-2.1103.2105.371.1+2.4+0.1100.1100.0-1.4
232Pacific (OR)NWC9-12-2.197.499.576.4-0.6+0.4101.6101.2+1.2
233Gwynedd MercyAEC14-10-2.394.997.370.6-6.8-4.296.4100.7-3.9
234Carroll (WI)CCIW7-18-2.499.2101.670.1+6.8+5.3102.797.4-4.5
235GenevaPAC14-10-2.4107.8110.272.5-2.4-4.196.0100.1+1.4
236Eastern NazareneNECC13-12-2.5101.9104.572.5-0.5-5.096.5101.5+0.5
237Bridgewater (VA)ODAC9-16-2.699.2101.774.1+11.6+8.7103.895.0+0.1
238St. Marys (MD)UEC13-10-2.796.999.671.2-4.2-6.194.6100.7+6.7
239WaynesburgPAC14-14-2.790.693.367.1-2.4-6.296.5102.8-4.0
240DickinsonCC11-13-2.892.795.571.0+1.2+4.1101.697.5-1.4
241Westminster (PA)PAC16-8-2.897.5100.373.7-6.3-7.194.7101.9-6.1
242McDanielCC10-14-2.999.6102.565.0+0.7+2.8100.597.8-5.8
243SUNY PotsdamSUNYAC12-12-2.997.6100.572.7+1.4-0.698.499.0-4.8
244MitchellNECC17-11-3.0102.6105.680.5-1.2-2.297.299.4+2.3
245SUNY DelhiNAC19-7-3.096.299.278.3-11.7-8.893.6102.3-3.2
246WhittierSCIAC7-14-3.198.7101.780.0+0.8+1.8101.699.8-2.6
247Wilmington (OH)OAC6-19-3.194.197.272.3+7.1+7.1105.898.7+0.8
248Ohio NorthernOAC10-15-3.197.6100.770.5+8.7+7.5105.597.9-1.0
249Saint Marys (MN)MIAC8-16-3.196.599.671.0+4.1+3.1102.599.4+3.8
250SpringfieldNEWMAC5-17-3.3101.1104.472.0+9.1+10.0104.394.3+10.4
251Mary BaldwinUSAC8-12-3.3101.6104.976.5-3.0-3.197.9101.0-5.6
252North ParkCCIW10-14-3.596.5100.068.8+7.5+6.8105.198.3-1.4
253LawrenceMWC12-13-3.6103.1106.872.6+1.4-3.999.0102.8+0.5
254EdgewoodNACC11-14-3.797.1100.876.5+3.7+2.0100.998.9+13.2
255EarlhamHCAC10-13-3.796.6100.371.4-2.1-1.7100.1101.8-6.9
256SUNY GeneseoSUNYAC11-13-3.799.3103.069.9+3.8+0.798.397.5+2.5
257York (NY)CUNYAC13-11-3.899.1102.977.9-9.0-6.495.0101.4+0.8
258Anna MariaGNAC14-11-3.994.798.679.2-5.8-3.097.4100.3-1.3
259Wheaton (MA)NEWMAC7-17-4.0103.7107.774.8+4.4+5.7101.595.8+0.1
260Lewis & ClarkNWC6-13-4.198.1102.172.6-0.6+1.3101.4100.0+6.1
261RamapoNJAC6-17-4.197.9102.070.3+5.8+2.599.496.8-3.9
262CaltechSCIAC11-14-4.193.297.370.8+0.8+1.8102.2100.3-3.5
263RITLL8-14-4.2103.9108.274.0+4.8+3.3100.397.0-3.2
264WilkesMACF7-16-4.396.5100.872.8+0.8-1.597.899.3+0.7
265Southern Me.LEC10-17-4.497.7102.172.9+6.1+4.2101.197.0-3.2
266MedailleAMCC15-13-4.598.6103.174.6-4.2-1.9100.6102.5+2.5
267AsburyIND3-4-4.5103.0107.571.6+4.2-1.498.8100.1-1.4
268HamlineMIAC10-16-4.695.5100.169.5+4.1+2.6102.499.8-4.9
269WellsUEC15-9-4.796.8101.575.5-13.2-12.392.6104.9-15.2
270AdrianMIAA5-18-4.997.2102.181.1+6.6+4.1102.598.3+3.7
271MisericordiaMACF10-17-5.0101.4106.475.5+0.2-1.198.399.4+1.1
272Pitt.-GreensburgAMCC10-13-5.199.9105.171.8-4.4-4.898.5103.3-3.6
273CMSVSKY10-15-5.288.894.077.0+0.1-1.898.5100.3-2.8
274OccidentalSCIAC5-15-5.296.3101.573.1+3.5+3.2102.198.9-0.3
275Puget SoundNWC6-15-5.295.0100.272.1-0.6+1.2101.7100.6+3.0
276North Central (MN)UMAC13-11-5.398.9104.275.1-6.4-10.494.6105.0-9.5
277AlleghenyNCAC8-12-5.6100.4106.175.3+0.3-3.298.3101.5-12.2
278JWU (Providence)GNAC10-15-5.794.7100.472.4-3.7-2.497.5100.0+0.5
279Old WestburySKY10-13-5.7106.2111.974.1-4.9-4.096.0100.0-6.0
280WilsonCSAC18-8-5.792.498.171.1-13.1-10.394.0104.3+0.6
281Southwestern (TX)SCAC9-17-5.794.8100.672.5+2.2+2.0100.598.5+3.5
282IITNACC12-12-5.796.5102.268.2+3.7-0.599.9100.4+12.9
283DefianceHCAC10-8-5.995.7101.568.5+2.4-0.8100.8101.7-18.0
284GreensboroUSAC7-13-5.992.598.477.0-0.8-1.8100.0101.8+4.7
285Regis (MA)GNAC13-12-6.090.796.775.2-5.6-4.896.3101.0-11.3
286Russell SageE813-13-6.196.7102.872.8-5.9-4.596.2100.7-7.6
287OberlinNCAC6-17-6.296.4102.667.6+0.2-1.1100.6101.7-4.5
288ClarksonLL6-19-6.399.6105.974.3+4.8+3.5100.096.5-3.5
289MSOENACC9-14-6.493.199.570.0+0.5-3.797.9101.5-10.1
290UC Santa CruzC2C3-15-6.592.599.071.8+7.8+5.7102.997.1+3.7
291BlackburnSLIAC11-18-6.694.9101.573.0-7.8-3.998.0101.9+5.7
292ThielPAC8-14-6.692.799.373.5-2.4-4.497.3101.6+0.9
293OlivetMIAA7-19-6.796.0102.780.0+7.5+5.8103.197.4+8.0
294RandolphODAC6-18-6.897.9104.774.2+9.1+5.6102.897.1+0.4
295Wis.-SuperiorUMAC10-16-6.895.0101.868.6-3.4-7.296.6103.8-4.5
296ImmaculataAEC8-19-6.992.599.476.0-2.1-1.898.1100.0-0.3
297EurekaSLIAC15-10-7.0100.1107.177.8-9.6-8.395.5103.7-4.3
298AlmaMIAA5-19-7.095.1102.173.9+8.2+6.0103.597.5+7.8
299DallasSCAC7-15-7.398.9106.274.8-0.6-0.297.998.1-4.1
300RhodesSAA10-15-7.494.7102.170.6+1.8+0.199.599.4-2.2
301FerrumODAC6-19-7.498.2105.773.1+10.8+5.5102.697.1-2.1
302Howard PayneASC7-18-7.693.2100.880.6+4.1+2.5101.999.5-1.7
303NorwichGNAC14-12-7.693.3100.972.3-8.4-7.295.6102.8-13.4
304BardLL7-17-7.791.499.178.8+4.2+1.499.397.9-13.9
305Central (IA)ARC7-15-7.893.5101.372.2+5.6+1.7101.699.9-5.4
306Centenary (NJ)AEC11-13-7.9100.9108.778.3-2.1-3.595.899.3-5.0
307Colorado Col.SCAC7-18-8.293.5101.774.4+1.5+2.0100.198.1+3.0
308Lake ForestMWC10-15-8.4102.0110.370.6+1.4-0.899.8100.6+7.9
309St. ScholasticaMIAC5-21-8.493.5101.973.0+4.1+4.1103.599.4+2.8
310St. Josephs (ME)GNAC9-18-8.5100.8109.374.6-3.7-1.497.498.8+3.2
311RosemontCSAC11-12-8.990.399.271.2-11.0-9.094.9103.9+5.3
312MCLAMASCAC10-12-9.295.8104.973.9-10.3-5.495.0100.4-7.7
313BlufftonHCAC6-16-9.496.8106.267.1-2.1-0.6101.1101.6-5.2
314ElizabethtownLAND8-16-9.597.2106.776.9+0.8-2.998.0100.8-7.2
315ManchesterHCAC8-16-9.597.4106.976.8+2.4+1.6101.599.9+2.3
316ShenandoahODAC4-22-9.793.5103.277.0+11.0+9.1104.094.9+3.1
317Washington Col.CC5-20-9.794.6104.373.3+1.2+6.6102.495.9+7.0
318Westminster (MO)SLIAC9-15-9.894.6104.473.1-7.4-6.197.2103.3+0.7
319WebsterSLIAC10-15-10.091.9101.970.4-6.7-5.397.2102.5+3.0
320LakelandNACC10-14-10.098.7108.776.1-1.0-3.398.2101.5-7.0
321SUNY CantonNAC12-12-10.190.4100.573.0-15.0-10.994.0104.9-5.4
322BelhavenASC8-12-10.193.2103.375.6-0.1-1.598.9100.3-17.9
323HilbertAMCC11-15-10.398.0108.475.6-4.6-4.499.6104.0-4.7
324Fitchburg St.MASCAC7-18-10.492.1102.475.0+3.9+0.898.797.9+5.7
325RivierGNAC8-15-10.594.3104.874.5-5.8-4.496.8101.2-2.7
326U New EnglandCCC7-19-10.691.3101.974.9+1.2+0.2100.099.8-4.6
327CabriniAEC9-16-10.689.399.976.3-6.8-4.196.7100.8-5.2
328HiramNCAC9-17-10.895.4106.275.1+0.4+0.2101.5101.3-2.8
329Buffalo St.SUNYAC4-19-11.194.5105.677.1+1.4+2.6100.698.0+8.5
330Alfred St.AMCC8-17-11.295.4106.583.1-4.4-2.699.6102.2-0.1
331MethodistUSAC4-18-11.293.1104.371.8+3.5+3.4101.698.2+13.3
332Grove CityPAC8-16-11.390.9102.269.6-2.4-7.195.2102.4-8.1
333CairnCSAC15-10-11.594.1105.669.8-15.1-15.089.9104.9-14.2
334SimpsonARC3-20-11.690.7102.274.3+4.6+2.7102.199.4-2.3
335John JayCUNYAC11-14-11.793.2104.972.7-12.2-10.193.4103.4-10.6
336Concordia-MheadMIAC5-17-11.796.2108.070.7+4.1+1.9101.599.6-16.7
337Me.-Presque IsleNAC10-10-11.988.9100.881.4-11.7-9.295.1104.4-8.2
338SewaneeSAA5-16-11.998.3110.270.3+1.8-1.298.399.5-5.9
339FranciscanAMCC8-15-11.997.0108.983.5-4.9-8.993.9102.8-9.0
340AustinSCAC4-19-12.195.6107.676.8-0.6+0.498.498.0-3.0
341Ozarks (AR)ASC6-18-12.394.4106.773.6+4.1+2.1101.499.2-3.5
342LutherARC8-17-12.390.1102.466.8+1.5+0.7100.8100.1-6.8
343KalamazooMIAA5-20-12.499.2111.668.4+6.6+5.6103.297.6+5.9
344MillsapsSAA4-19-12.583.596.073.7-0.1+0.299.799.5-4.0
345HunterCUNYAC12-14-12.696.1108.7104.7-11.2-10.492.7103.1-12.7
346CCNYCUNYAC7-17-12.889.6102.377.9-4.5-6.794.8101.5-2.9
347Penn St.-AbingtonUEC12-13-12.889.1101.969.3-10.8-10.393.4103.7-8.9
348CastletonLEC5-21-13.090.5103.571.6+5.4+1.9100.598.6-10.3
349HuntingdonUSAC8-15-13.096.5109.573.5-1.4-3.996.9100.9-6.7
350Bob JonesIND3-3-13.199.9113.074.6-8.7-8.193.4101.5-5.0
351Mount AloysiusAMCC5-19-13.290.5103.775.1-2.9-1.5100.7102.1+3.2
352Pitt.-BradfordAMCC8-16-13.298.5111.777.1-4.4-4.598.5103.0-5.8
353La VerneSCIAC4-15-13.395.1108.471.5+0.8+3.1102.499.4+0.2
354AuroraNACC5-18-13.987.8101.775.0-0.4-0.2101.0101.2+3.2
355SUNY MorrisvilleUEC8-16-13.994.9108.870.3-4.5-8.592.5101.0-3.7
356SUNY MaritimeSKY4-19-13.988.9102.872.0-5.4-6.095.0101.0-6.6
357DeanGNAC8-17-14.092.1106.174.5-5.8-5.895.0100.8-13.9
358Mt. St. Mary (NY)SKY7-17-14.185.999.972.1-5.1-4.795.5100.2-2.8
359MarywoodAEC6-17-14.491.5106.074.7-6.8-3.497.4100.8-6.1
360ElmiraE86-19-14.593.3107.871.9+4.8-0.498.598.9+3.2
361PrincipiaSLIAC8-14-14.992.7107.671.2-7.3-7.296.9104.1-2.9
362WillametteNWC3-17-15.199.4114.582.3-0.6+1.8101.099.2+1.5
363KenyonNCAC3-22-15.189.7104.975.5+0.2-0.0101.4101.4-2.3
364KnoxMWC7-16-15.192.5107.769.6-4.2-6.597.6104.1-10.4
365Colby-SawyerGNAC8-15-15.392.4107.771.8-5.6-1.897.199.0+6.8
366Bryn AthynCSAC7-16-15.794.6110.379.4-11.0-12.990.6103.5-7.9
367Minn.-MorrisUMAC4-14-15.794.5110.378.6-3.3-7.496.7104.2-3.2
368BrevardUSAC8-15-16.192.0108.172.4-6.1-3.398.3101.6-6.4
369KeystoneCSAC9-16-16.595.8112.371.5-11.2-12.291.0103.2-5.9
370KeukaE84-18-16.696.3112.983.7-4.3-2.398.4100.7-5.3
371GreenvilleSLIAC5-19-16.8101.2118.0107.1-5.1-2.398.7101.0+8.2
372SpaldingSLIAC7-17-17.087.1104.069.6-6.6-5.897.5103.3-0.6
373FredoniaSUNYAC3-21-17.090.1107.174.4+1.4+1.2100.499.1+0.1
374Bridgewater St.MASCAC4-19-17.088.3105.376.3+3.9+0.799.198.4+2.9
375PurchaseSKY6-18-17.490.2107.677.0-3.5-2.197.299.4+1.1
376Kings (PA)MACF6-15-17.592.5110.071.9-4.2-5.796.2102.0-13.6
377William PeaceUSAC5-18-17.692.7110.373.3+2.0+1.7101.399.6+6.8
378BereaUSAC4-14-17.791.5109.274.9-1.8-2.599.0101.5-6.4
379NVU-JohnsonNAC6-15-17.990.7108.675.9-9.1-7.993.9101.8-2.3
380Plattsburgh St.SUNYAC2-23-18.191.0109.277.8+1.8+1.699.497.8+1.3
381Maine MaritimeNAC3-14-18.288.0106.275.5-2.7-6.895.8102.7-4.6
382Thomas (ME)NAC2-14-18.488.7107.076.0-7.1-5.296.2101.4+5.7
383Sarah LawrenceSKY8-16-18.586.9105.476.3-2.2-4.995.3100.1-5.6
384CazenoviaNAC5-17-19.490.4109.873.3-9.7-8.694.3102.9-3.9
385Medgar EversCUNYAC6-17-19.685.2104.885.2-11.2-8.194.7102.7-8.6
386MoravianLAND7-16-19.794.0113.775.1+0.8+0.299.499.2-2.0
387HoughtonE84-21-19.785.1104.976.1-4.4-3.598.5101.9-6.4
388Monmouth (IL)MWC3-21-19.988.1108.074.7+1.4-1.5100.8102.4+3.9
389NVU-LyndonNAC5-18-20.593.0113.581.6-7.5-6.695.5102.0-4.7
390BrooklynCUNYAC3-22-20.585.6106.272.0-0.1-2.597.7100.2+5.4
391Framingham St.MASCAC3-21-21.080.8101.869.9-2.0-3.397.1100.5-5.4
392BeloitMWC5-20-21.285.0106.271.3-0.4-4.899.2104.0-6.1
393Penn CollegeUEC5-18-21.583.6105.275.9-5.3-9.793.0102.7-8.9
394HartwickE82-21-22.185.0107.273.3+6.1-0.198.298.3+0.7
395St. Josephs (Brkln)SKY3-22-22.184.6106.774.1-2.9-2.298.3100.4-4.2
396ElmsGNAC2-21-22.586.7109.277.4-5.6-0.398.198.4+3.9
397GoucherLAND3-21-22.684.6107.269.6+0.8-0.898.499.2-4.9
398Rutgers-CamdenNJAC1-21-22.882.8105.671.0+5.5+4.7101.096.2-2.9
399Saint ElizabethCSAC7-16-23.083.5106.573.1-11.0-8.894.7103.5+2.9
400Cobleskill St.NAC3-19-23.588.8112.379.5-9.7-6.895.0101.9-0.9
401Warren WilsonIND0-4-23.786.5110.272.4-1.5-1.1101.2102.4+2.8
402FDU-FlorhamMACF3-22-23.890.3114.067.4-1.6-3.896.8100.6-8.5
403CurryCCC2-24-24.487.5111.976.4+1.6+1.3100.399.0-4.5
404Clarks SummitCSAC7-16-24.580.5105.077.4-12.3-12.792.2104.8-9.3
405Dominican (IL)NACC2-22-24.686.6111.376.5-2.0-3.898.4102.2-13.4
406MUWSLIAC1-11-26.087.8113.772.4-8.8-5.997.2103.1-5.9
407Valley ForgeCSAC3-16-26.487.9114.481.2-11.0-11.992.5104.3-4.2
408Martin LutherUMAC5-21-28.482.5110.975.4-5.6-9.295.4104.7-13.7
409GallaudetUEC3-20-29.076.1105.175.6-5.3-7.694.7102.3-4.3
410LesleyNECC2-19-30.080.9110.981.9-2.9-4.896.7101.5-7.3
411NorthlandUMAC6-18-30.286.1116.374.1-5.0-6.497.0103.4-6.2
412PrattC2C5-15-30.475.2105.673.3-7.2-3.697.6101.2-3.4
413FinlandiaC2C2-15-30.779.5110.284.6-5.0-7.997.1104.9-7.9
414Saint VincentPAC2-22-32.081.0113.070.7-2.4-4.496.2100.6-2.2
415Bethany (WV)PAC2-19-32.581.6114.176.4-2.4-5.396.6101.9-6.4
416Maranatha BaptistIND1-10-39.374.7114.075.8-12.3-14.991.2106.1-14.9
417Penn St.-BerksUEC0-19-41.075.4116.579.4-9.3-7.394.4101.6-5.6

Wednesday, March 2, 2022

NCAA D3 MBB Tournament Forecast 2022

Here are my calculated probabilities that each team wins the listed round according to my efficiency ratings. One pretty big caveat: the probability calculations I used assumes all games are taking place on a neutral court which is obviously not the case. Teams playing at home should be assumed to have more favorable chances than are listed below.

Rounding is to the nearest tenth of a percentage point, so zero point zero is not true zero (everyone has a chance!).

SeedTeam1st Round2nd RoundSweet 16Elite 8Final FourChampions
1Randolph-Macon99.4%85.2%67.7%43.3%29.3%20.6%
1Wis.-Oshkosh99.3%78.7%67.1%47.7%33.1%17.4%
1Wesleyan (CT)98.2%78.4%45.0%22.5%13.4%8.4%
1Marietta99.2%75.5%46.1%28.6%13.6%8.3%
2Johns Hopkins56.4%43.2%28.5%15.3%6.9%4.0%
1WPI88.7%50.4%26.0%12.1%6.6%3.8%
1Wis.-Platteville90.5%55.2%36.4%17.2%9.6%3.7%
1Emory88.5%62.4%34.7%20.4%9.8%3.7%
2Saint Joseph (CT)78.4%41.9%21.1%9.5%5.1%2.9%
1Chris. Newport95.0%75.7%37.2%16.4%5.9%2.9%
1Mount Union88.9%51.2%28.4%15.9%7.2%2.5%
1Swarthmore67.7%39.2%19.4%10.8%4.5%2.4%
1WashU87.2%59.6%32.0%16.1%7.1%2.4%
2Oswego St.77.8%41.9%20.1%10.8%4.3%2.3%
2Williams79.5%42.1%22.6%12.3%5.5%1.9%
2Wis.-La Crosse67.8%39.2%23.1%11.9%5.4%1.9%
2UMass Dartmouth78.0%62.3%21.0%8.4%3.8%1.9%
3Yeshiva43.6%31.5%19.1%9.0%3.5%1.8%
2Elmhurst87.9%62.3%29.0%11.3%5.3%1.5%
1Ill. Wesleyan93.2%47.3%25.7%11.9%4.8%1.5%
2Saint Johns (MN)60.6%28.7%16.9%7.0%3.4%1.1%
2Rochester (NY)71.3%20.8%8.1%3.2%0.9%0.4%
2CWRU55.8%12.1%7.5%3.2%1.3%0.3%
1Whitworth62.0%36.6%9.1%3.5%1.2%0.3%
2Wabash58.3%21.7%8.3%3.5%1.1%0.2%
3Rensselaer67.9%17.8%5.7%1.6%0.6%0.2%
1Stockton93.3%25.2%10.1%2.9%0.6%0.2%
3Calvin39.4%14.5%6.9%2.1%0.8%0.2%
2Wheaton (IL)57.2%22.8%8.7%3.0%0.9%0.2%
4Keene St.32.3%13.3%4.4%1.7%0.4%0.2%
3Dubuque44.2%9.1%5.1%1.9%0.7%0.2%
1Pomona-Pitzer69.4%27.2%9.0%2.4%0.8%0.1%
3Heidelberg32.2%13.0%5.5%1.8%0.5%0.1%
3Mary Hardin-Baylor56.8%27.3%5.4%1.7%0.5%0.1%
2DeSales55.1%9.3%3.8%0.9%0.3%0.1%
3Berry41.7%13.0%4.2%1.5%0.4%0.1%
3Hope42.8%14.5%4.5%1.3%0.3%0.0%
2Chapman43.2%17.9%3.0%0.8%0.2%0.0%
3Penn St. Harrisburg21.6%6.1%1.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
3Susquehanna50.3%13.2%3.2%0.6%0.1%0.0%
4Trinity (TX)38.0%18.2%2.8%0.7%0.2%0.0%
1Nazareth54.6%15.4%2.5%0.4%0.1%0.0%
3Babson44.9%5.5%2.0%0.4%0.1%0.0%
3Emerson22.0%11.8%1.8%0.3%0.1%0.0%
3Hood22.2%5.6%1.2%0.3%0.1%0.0%
4Westfield St.45.4%10.5%1.3%0.2%0.0%0.0%
2Rowan49.7%10.3%1.9%0.3%0.0%0.0%
3Neumann20.5%4.5%1.0%0.2%0.0%0.0%
3Eastern28.7%3.6%0.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%
2Nichols32.1%3.5%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
4Northwestern-St. Paul30.6%6.5%1.1%0.2%0.0%0.0%
4Averett11.5%2.9%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
4Vassar11.3%1.6%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Cornell College12.8%3.1%0.5%0.1%0.0%0.0%
4Stevens11.1%2.2%0.3%0.1%0.0%0.0%
3Wash. & Jeff.12.1%3.9%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Marian (WI)9.5%1.6%0.3%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Baruch5.0%0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Franklin6.8%0.5%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Husson1.8%0.2%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Wilson6.7%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Blackburn0.7%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Mitchell0.6%0.1%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%
4Medaille0.8%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%0.0%

Monday, February 28, 2022

D3 Men's NCAA Tournament Mock Bracket 2021-22

 We'll find out the official selections and bracket in about four hours, but I took a shot at racketing the projected field I helped select on Hoopsville last night. See also the D3hoops.com projected bracket.

I'm still nervous about Calvin's chances to get in and won't feel good until (if) their name is called. The other folks on the zoom call -- Bob Quillman, Ryan Scott, and Drew Pasteur -- all felt pretty good about them. I will say that, although I'm fully biased in favor of Calvin, I wasn't pushing for the Knights in that spot. I tried to generally stay out of it until there was a consensus that this was the pick.

The Men's Selection show is scheduled for 12:30 pm eastern time (I believe) and should be able to be accessed at the NCAA's official site. D3hoops.com will also likely provide information or links and will have the bracket posted soon after the reveal.

Here's my projected bracket, with UW-Oshkosh, Randolph-Macon, Marietta, and Wesleyan anchoring the four quadrants. These teams would be in line to host in the second weekend as well if they make it through and geography holds. Host sites for first-weekend pods are listed in bold at the top of each four-team pod group. (Clicking the image should embiggen.)



Tuesday, February 22, 2022

D3hoops MBB Tournament S-Curve 2021-22

Here's a tournament seeding S-curve I made based on my overly-simplistic regional rankings rating formula (0.35 x WP + 0.65 x SOS + 0.005 x RRWins). It gives a decent approximation of how the committee might view teams. It's not gospel. It's not super serious. See Drew Pasteur's great work for a more serious model.

What this tries to do is take those ratings and bucket teams as a "1", "2", "3", or "4" caliber team for first-round matchups. 1's are teams are the strongest teams and are in position to host first-weekend pods. 4's will likely play host teams. 2's and 3's will face off and line up to play hosts (if they win) in the 2nd round.

Division 3 doesn't do 1-16 seeding like Division 1 does (due to geographical and budgetary restrictions), so it's usually better to think of teams as 1-4 in each first-weekend pod.

As mentioned, this is way oversimplified so don't take the tournament field projection nature of this too seriously.


Thursday, February 3, 2022

Division III Basketball Efficiency Ratings 2019-2020

Submitted here for the official record are the final FFTMAG efficiency ratings for the 2019-20 season. See below for a brief explanation of the methods. The current-year's data will be posted on this page when available.

Below is an attempt at replicating Ken Pomeroy's excellent Division I efficiency ratings for Division III teams. Only D3 vs. D3 games are included in the data set and team records. No Division I, II, NAIA, NCCAA, or other opponents are included.

All stats come from NCAA.org. If box score data hasn't been reported to that site, it won't be in this data set.

AdjEM - Adjusted Efficiency Margin - This is the number of points (per 100 possessions) by which the team in question would be expected to beat an average team. This is that category by which teams are ranked overall.

AdjO - Adjusted Offense - This is the number of points (per 100 possessions) that the team in question would be expected to score against an average defense.

AdjD - Adjusted Defense - This is the number of points (per 100 possessions) that the team in question would be expected to allow against an average offense.

AdjT - Adjusted Tempo - This is the speed, in possessions per 40 minutes, at which the team in question would be expected to play against an average team.

SOS Win50 - This column represents the median rating of all of the opponents a team has played so far this season. This strength of schedule indicator is less susceptible to swings caused by a small handful of particularly poor (or strong) opponents.

OppEM - Opponents - These columns represent the average adjusted efficiency margin which gives an idea of a team's strength of schedule.

NCSOS OppEM - Non-conference - This column is the average adjusted efficiency margin of a team's non-conference opponents.

Adj - Adjusted - Raw offensive, defensive, and tempo ratings are calculated for each game using box score data. These numbers go through an automatic iterative process until they stabilize in an attempt to account for game tempo and quality of opposition. For example: if Calvin plays a "system" team like Grinnell in a game that results in 95 possessions, they shouldn't necessarily be seen as a fast team (simply because they played a fast opponent). Their adjusted game tempo would be a more NCAA-average 75 (or so) since 95 possessions per game is how fast average teams play against Grinnell. The same process applies to offensive and defensive efficiency ratings. Each game number is adjusted to account for quality of opposition (a 'good' offensive output against a lowly defense might end up looking only average). The number next to each column is the team's overall rank in that category.

  D3AdjAdjAdjAdjSOSSOSSOSSOSNCSOS
RankTeamConfGPTempoOeffDEffMarginMedianOppEMOppOOppDOppEM
1Randolph-MaconODAC296711584313.55.0103.198.16.2
2Mount UnionOAC297212195255.35.9105.799.86.6
3SwarthmoreCC287211792254.64.5102.097.57.9
4Saint Johns (MN)MIAC286511994252.70.8104.2103.3-1.2
5St. Thomas (MN)MIAC287111792252.93.8105.9102.112.3
6Wis.-PlattevilleWIAC257111490247.46.6105.498.80.2
7Chris. NewportCAC287611288247.46.2104.498.27.2
8Wis.-OshkoshWIAC2874116922413.310.8108.297.49.9
9Neb. WesleyanARC287212198234.23.5105.5102.03.6
10AmherstNESCAC2672115922312.65.9104.298.3-3.2
11EmoryUAA267711895237.07.8105.898.04.7
12ColbyNESCAC2876115932211.26.5104.898.3-0.6
13TuftsNESCAC2875112902212.610.6106.996.38.2
14SpringfieldNEWMAC2771117952210.47.8106.398.57.7
15BabsonNEWMAC277311694218.26.8106.699.84.3
16WashUUAA267011594218.87.7107.399.64.2
17WPINEWMAC2869112912110.36.5105.999.53.3
18St. NorbertMWC286911493210.52.8105.5102.76.6
19WittenbergNCAC297311392213.91.0103.3102.3-5.1
20ElmhurstCCIW2976114932110.26.7106.399.62.6
21YeshivaSKY29761179621-1.2-1.299.0100.24.9
22North Central (IL)CCIW276611392218.86.5106.6100.03.5
23Johns HopkinsCC287111393204.24.6102.397.77.3
24MariettaOAC287611493205.05.8106.3100.54.2
25SUNY BrockportSUNYAC287910988203.32.7103.4100.75.2
26TCNJNJAC2875111912010.06.0102.796.79.4
27IthacaE829771139320-1.11.0100.999.91.8
28York (PA)CAC287311393206.45.5103.998.44.2
29Saint Joseph (CT)GNAC28771149519-2.0-2.2100.4102.6-0.3
30MiddleburyNESCAC267511595199.66.9104.197.22.7
31Wis.-La CrosseWIAC277110889197.46.8106.799.9-0.8
32Va. WesleyanODAC277110889193.55.2103.798.55.7
33Augustana (IL)CCIW2671111931811.48.6107.198.59.6
34RensselaerLL28691078818-1.11.1100.799.66.8
35WilliamsNESCAC2569108901812.810.6107.496.96.5
36RiponMWC287011294171.63.8106.3102.58.0
37Pomona-PitzerSCIAC2371118101175.40.1101.2101.00.0
38WhitworthNWC287411497171.53.1104.9101.99.6
39HobartLL27711048817-0.62.9102.599.511.8
40John CarrollOAC287611498174.85.8105.499.6-0.6
41SusquehannaLAND28741099217-1.4-0.398.698.91.4
42GuilfordODAC266910790165.16.4104.498.08.4
43St. Thomas (TX)SCAC21791099316-1.0-2.999.1101.9-1.4
44RoanokeODAC276810892153.54.0101.897.8-0.7
45HamiltonNESCAC257811297159.95.6103.297.6-0.9
46Wash. & LeeODAC267910691150.23.1102.098.9-2.3
47WhitmanNWC288211197151.51.3104.2102.92.9
48Wis.-Stevens PointWIAC2667107931513.310.7107.897.18.7
49WoosterNCAC2973115100153.95.3105.3100.09.7
50SUNY OneontaSUNYAC277411096152.71.2102.2101.00.8
51Rochester (NY)UAA2569105911410.38.9107.198.25.3
52StevensMACF28751038914-0.32.1101.799.67.3
53AlbionMIAA267111297144.54.4105.3100.96.9
54Wheaton (IL)CCIW2669111961410.27.5106.498.94.6
55Trinity (CT)NESCAC267910591149.14.8104.599.6-3.3
56LeTourneauASC298110995146.85.0104.899.87.1
57LynchburgODAC277410793147.37.5104.997.49.1
58East Tex. BaptistASC287511097142.52.8103.5100.70.4
59BrandeisUAA256910995148.68.6107.198.54.5
60Mary WashingtonCAC277310996135.14.2103.499.33.1
61Wis.-Eau ClaireWIAC2968109961314.810.1107.897.74.9
62Texas-DallasASC287010996133.04.0103.999.95.0
63RowanNJAC278111097136.45.7102.296.56.7
64Claremont-M-SSCIAC25691059213-1.00.4102.4102.10.4
65ScrantonLAND27711099613-1.40.299.499.20.7
66Wesleyan (CT)NESCAC247410491138.06.9104.897.9-0.5
67CentreSAA287010997131.40.8103.9103.02.1
68Oswego St.SUNYAC27691089513-1.42.5103.3100.71.1
69RedlandsSCIAC267710896123.50.9102.1101.2-0.3
70SUNY CortlandSUNYAC2672114102125.12.0101.899.81.8
71EmersonNEWMAC257711098129.96.4106.4100.02.1
72Buena VistaARC257411199121.70.7104.9104.1-7.0
73Ill. WesleyanCCIW28731121001210.28.7107.198.46.5
74EndicottCCC277511199124.61.6103.1101.5-0.3
75Albertus MagnusGNAC278110897120.60.6103.1102.53.5
76UChicagoUAA257210896126.68.5107.799.14.0
77Benedictine (IL)NACC27711049312-5.8-2.5101.2103.710.1
78LinfieldNWC2174112101110.51.8104.7102.99.0
79BatesNESCAC2577103921112.98.0106.498.42.0
80Me.-FarmingtonNAC24751079511-6.8-7.597.2104.73.1
81Penn St. HarrisburgNEAC28731099811-9.1-7.597.1104.60.7
82RamapoNJAC267010695114.33.9102.999.00.1
83CoeARC2769113102111.73.6105.9102.40.3
84WabashNCAC267211199113.93.5105.0101.54.4
85UticaE82673112100111.2-0.1101.1101.12.8
86DrewLAND27771059411-1.41.4100.499.14.1
87CalvinMIAA237210796113.14.2105.8101.56.9
88AverettUSAC277110190110.61.8103.8102.17.8
89StocktonNJAC277610191116.45.4102.897.43.3
90SUNY PotsdamSUNYAC26781049411-4.51.1102.1101.0-6.5
91Western Conn. St.LEC277510695102.10.5100.099.6-1.7
92Coast GuardNEWMAC27761121021010.58.4106.598.04.1
93AugsburgMIAC2673115105101.10.8103.0102.2-3.0
94St. John FisherE8287510898102.21.2103.3102.14.6
95UMass BostonLEC277010393102.61.1100.799.60.0
96Carroll (WI)CCIW256710292108.53.9105.5101.6-4.7
97BerrySAA25681059510-0.61.0102.4101.41.1
98Union (NY)LL267410696100.83.6102.498.814.3
99HanoverHCAC256810292101.3-1.1102.8103.9-0.2
100Rutgers-NewarkNJAC29649989106.45.6103.698.05.0
101NicholsCCC297610595104.64.3105.1100.87.5
102Bethel (MN)MIAC266910798102.73.2105.0101.89.3
103Gwynedd MercyAEC2874105959-3.0-0.6101.5102.1-0.7
104MuhlenbergCC27721089990.81.9100.999.0-5.1
105NazarethE82774108999-0.6-2.0100.6102.6-2.2
106Sul Ross St.ASC27761079892.02.1102.8100.73.2
107Rhode Island Col.LEC26781059692.11.0101.1100.10.2
108CarthageCCIW2674109101810.25.0105.7100.7-3.0
109UMass DartmouthLEC27761079982.62.6101.699.04.7
110WidenerMACC26761069883.01.4101.4100.1-0.7
111SuffolkGNAC2672105978-1.6-1.1101.8103.01.4
112WesleyAEC277511210480.12.1102.3100.25.6
113Penn St.-BehrendAMCC2966105978-2.2-4.899.4104.2-6.3
114Westfield St.MASCAC2880101938-4.1-2.4100.6103.05.0
115WentworthCCC27711009282.30.4102.9102.5-4.4
116SimpsonARC267410810082.73.9106.6102.7-1.3
117Western New Eng.CCC267611110482.31.4103.3102.0-0.4
118UW-River FallsWIAC2572109102713.39.5107.898.33.6
119MethodistUSAC287310710070.32.2103.5101.48.0
120HoodMACC287311310671.90.2100.7100.5-3.6
121Marymount (VA)AEC2771105987-2.10.8102.0101.23.0
122MillsapsSAA26771039671.02.9103.8100.95.5
123ArcadiaMACC277310710075.93.7103.199.45.9
124William PeaceUSAC26781101037-0.31.8102.7100.96.2
125Pitt.-GreensburgAMCC26741081017-4.0-6.098.2104.2-10.4
126New England Col.NECC2882103977-5.7-3.699.2102.81.9
127Mary Hardin-BaylorASC26791069972.53.3102.899.56.2
128AlverniaMACC26721049775.91.1102.3101.3-1.1
129CWRUUAA2573107100711.68.4107.398.92.7
130DeSalesMACF2672105997-0.40.2100.7100.61.2
131La RocheAMCC28721111046-2.2-3.799.5103.20.3
132New Jersey CityNJAC28761039768.75.7102.997.15.9
133LorasARC267510710161.72.7105.4102.7-1.0
134TrineMIAA28721059863.53.8105.3101.53.3
135Carnegie MellonUAA247710610069.39.0106.997.93.7
136Lake ForestMWC267511010462.85.0106.8101.810.8
137DePauwNCAC266710910365.15.2106.0100.88.0
138Baldwin WallaceOAC267010610064.86.1105.199.12.1
139LycomingMACC28701049865.42.5102.9100.50.7
140SalisburyCAC25731049867.97.0105.498.47.1
141OccidentalSCIAC20681019662.21.8102.7100.95.2
142Centenary (LA)SCAC2875104986-0.8-0.8100.0100.84.8
143Rose-HulmanHCAC276910510052.01.8104.3102.69.1
144ChapmanSCIAC2267103975-1.0-1.2100.5101.7-5.9
145HeidelbergOAC27701049855.17.4106.499.04.2
146PurchaseSKY28781051005-4.2-1.099.1100.13.8
147TransylvaniaHCAC287211110652.01.8103.6101.88.2
148OberlinNCAC27701039853.92.7104.4101.7-4.4
149EasternMACF25691009556.54.4103.999.511.2
150MITNEWMAC25719994510.25.6106.1100.6-0.3
151HaverfordCC26751009650.82.0101.999.9-5.8
152CapitalOAC2672989354.66.2106.7100.50.7
153Roger WilliamsCCC26751029855.02.2103.8101.70.4
154Northwestern-St. PaulUMAC26771061025-8.7-9.398.3107.6-1.1
155Emmanuel (MA)GNAC26761061024-4.9-4.8100.5105.3-3.9
156UrsinusCC25751049941.93.4101.998.51.5
157GrinnellMWC23941101064-0.41.3105.1103.8-2.1
158AlmaMIAA267710610243.12.6104.6102.00.8
159Ohio WesleyanNCAC266910710345.45.8105.9100.07.4
160Bethany LutheranUMAC28791091054-8.7-8.098.5106.41.0
161FerrumODAC277110410036.93.8102.598.72.1
162Wis. LutheranNACC26771071033-6.2-6.897.9104.7-17.4
163AlbrightMACC28771009735.51.0102.6101.6-2.3
164SUNY DelhiIND2477100973-14.4-11.195.5106.6-11.1
165N.C. WesleyanUSAC24731091063-0.31.2102.4101.23.3
166AdrianMIAA287210710434.13.5104.8101.42.2
167Wilmington (OH)OAC267510610335.37.3107.099.73.8
168St. OlafMIAC277210510232.73.3105.5102.21.1
169Louisiana Col.ASC26711019834.02.1103.3101.2-0.7
170Concordia WisconsinNACC28761051023-3.1-1.8101.2103.012.3
171BlufftonHCAC2667989530.6-1.2102.4103.7-2.1
172Wis.-WhitewaterWIAC2470103101314.111.1108.197.07.4
173BaruchCUNYAC277396933-4.9-5.796.5102.20.6
174HartwickE825711031013-0.6-1.7100.6102.3-1.6
175Saint Marys (MN)MIAC277210210031.71.9104.5102.7-6.3
176Plymouth St.LEC2774999631.6-2.199.8101.9-10.2
177AlleghenyNCAC267310310134.52.6104.1101.5-4.2
178Concordia (TX)ASC258010310036.83.2103.8100.65.1
179GordonCCC267511210926.12.1103.0100.9-1.4
180Montclair St.NJAC2580107105210.05.2102.797.53.3
181Eastern Conn. St.LEC257310210028.34.5102.698.19.6
182Anderson (IN)HCAC277510310123.00.6103.5102.93.4
183Hardin-SimmonsASC26741009822.82.8103.2100.42.5
184GettysburgCC257310310120.80.9100.599.6-8.1
185HopeMIAA247410210023.73.8104.8101.13.4
186DubuqueARC257610610524.21.4104.5103.1-5.9
187JWU (Providence)GNAC217310410220.6-0.1101.3101.43.1
188SUNY PolyNEAC2673100982-8.6-6.198.5104.52.4
189Keene St.LEC2676979528.34.5103.699.19.6
190HendrixSAA2574101992-1.01.4102.7101.31.1
191Puget SoundNWC22741041032-0.20.3103.5103.10.2
192Monmouth (IL)MWC24701041021-0.41.0104.9103.9-3.9
193FranklinHCAC257011010812.0-1.0102.0103.0-2.7
194Salve ReginaCCC267310710616.12.3103.6101.30.4
195Grove CityPAC287199981-5.1-5.898.6104.41.5
196SUNY MorrisvilleNEAC27711031021-1.1-3.6100.1103.68.1
197WartburgARC277410310216.44.9106.6101.72.8
198Franklin & MarshallCC2569969514.24.8102.998.05.7
199MessiahMACC257210010015.92.1102.3100.20.1
200MitchellNECC2477100991-3.0-4.998.9103.8-1.3
201Hampden-SydneyODAC277210110113.54.8103.198.3-1.9
202WebsterSLIAC27721011001-8.5-7.2100.3107.44.2
203Pacific LutheranNWC217010010001.50.5104.2103.7-3.5
204CovenantUSAC27671001000-3.3-0.7102.5103.24.2
205ManhattanvilleSKY267199990-5.0-2.898.5101.2-0.5
206U New EnglandCCC258010110102.30.0103.2103.1-5.7
207Westminster (PA)PAC26751011010-5.2-5.997.4103.30.0
208EurekaSLIAC24811011010-8.5-9.798.6108.3-4.2
209SchreinerSCAC277698980-1.0-0.999.7100.62.9
210WilkesMACF237410210302.21.5101.499.93.9
211Cornell CollegeMWC267210310401.12.0105.6103.6-2.6
212IITNACC266897970-4.4-1.0102.1103.19.2
213Wm. PatersonNJAC2576969706.44.0101.997.9-1.8
214John JayCUNYAC25729898-1-8.3-8.895.3104.1-6.9
215SewaneeSAA2472102102-10.51.7103.2101.50.8
216Russell SageE826759899-12.2-1.3100.5101.8-2.1
217CarletonMIAC2471106106-12.70.0103.4103.3-13.3
218NYUUAA2571104105-17.66.5104.998.4-2.8
219Farmingdale St.SKY2774103104-1-1.2-0.199.899.92.0
220Colorado Col.SCAC2373101102-1-2.7-2.299.4101.6-1.3
221MedailleAMCC2578106106-1-2.2-3.699.6103.21.2
222AlfredE825759899-1-0.6-0.4101.5101.90.9
223HuntingdonUSAC2772107108-1-3.3-0.8101.4102.31.7
224AustinSCAC2679100101-1-2.7-2.599.6102.2-2.8
225CaltechSCIAC25739697-15.63.9103.899.98.9
226Cobleskill St.NEAC2476101102-1-10.8-8.995.4104.3-6.2
227VassarLL267199100-1-3.4-0.7100.6101.3-1.5
228SUNY CantonNAC27739394-1-6.8-4.798.6103.43.6
229Old WestburySKY267599100-1-5.4-1.7100.0101.7-0.6
230CairnCSAC2878104105-1-11.3-10.795.4106.1-7.3
231Eastern NazareneNECC2571102104-1-6.7-5.397.6102.9-1.5
232MoravianLAND26769798-13.02.5100.998.44.4
233OtterbeinOAC26729899-15.27.1106.999.80.8
234BowdoinNESCAC2470104106-211.35.5104.298.7-4.0
235OglethorpeSAA227498100-2-0.60.0101.1101.1-4.7
236Mount AloysiusAMCC26679799-2-3.1-3.9100.1104.0-2.7
237St. Marys (MD)CAC277498100-26.96.6105.498.83.6
238Penn St.-AltoonaAMCC288098100-2-2.6-4.499.8104.2-5.4
239Wis.-SuperiorUMAC2668103105-2-10.5-8.298.7106.9-0.7
240MuskingumOAC2573107110-25.36.3105.699.30.5
241BelhavenASC2478106108-33.03.1103.3100.2-0.3
242PfeifferUSAC2484106109-31.92.4103.4101.06.8
243Lebanon ValleyMACC247498100-35.43.0102.799.71.8
244Washington Col.CC26749699-34.97.4105.097.613.6
245Texas LutheranSCAC2870102104-3-1.0-1.999.1101.0-1.7
246George FoxNWC2579102105-31.53.0104.7101.76.8
247ClarksonLL2577101104-3-1.11.5100.999.35.5
248LehmanCUNYAC25769598-3-6.2-7.595.4103.0-3.3
249Ohio NorthernOAC2470101104-35.05.6106.0100.4-3.7
250Ozarks (AR)ASC2571103106-33.04.2104.4100.22.9
251MSOENACC2872101104-3-5.8-3.4100.6104.0-3.8
252KalamazooMIAA2375107110-34.25.5105.199.66.7
253Worcester St.MASCAC277599103-3-5.7-2.499.6101.92.8
254NeumannAEC26749497-3-0.30.6102.6102.01.7
255LaGrangeUSAC2479102106-3-0.91.2102.9101.711.9
256Gust. AdolphusMIAC2575101104-33.14.0106.0102.07.9
257HilbertAMCC2675105108-3-2.2-4.898.7103.5-6.3
258GreenvilleSLIAC27112112116-4-8.1-6.199.6105.76.4
259PiedmontUSAC237596100-4-0.9-0.9102.3103.25.4
260FDU-FlorhamMACF2570107111-4-0.31.099.498.40.5
261LawrenceMWC2572106110-41.42.1105.3103.2-0.6
262CatholicLAND25729296-40.10.899.598.71.3
263Kings (PA)MACF237695100-4-0.3-0.2100.9101.1-1.3
264FranciscanAMCC247399104-4-1.9-4.199.6103.7-2.3
265LasellGNAC2775103108-44.32.0103.6101.65.8
266Illinois Col.MWC2473107112-51.43.6105.6101.94.8
267Colby-SawyerGNAC257799104-5-3.3-2.3101.4103.71.9
268WhittierSCIAC2580102107-55.40.4101.3100.9-2.2
269Anna MariaGNAC2773104108-50.61.0102.7101.72.3
270BrooklynCUNYAC27729499-5-1.2-3.198.2101.36.1
271DenisonNCAC2770100105-54.84.0105.0101.0-2.0
272ChathamPAC237498103-5-5.2-7.197.6104.60.0
273Wheaton (MA)NEWMAC2376103108-57.86.2105.699.4-2.3
274Sarah LawrenceSKY2773100105-5-2.9-4.397.7102.0-7.7
275Trinity (TX)SCAC267796101-5-0.70.2101.0100.85.8
276GenevaPAC2771104109-5-5.2-7.196.2103.3-5.8
277St. Josephs (ME)GNAC2676104109-5-3.0-2.0101.1103.10.3
278Wash. & Jeff.PAC257197102-5-5.1-6.698.0104.6-2.8
279Birmingham-So.SAA2473105110-50.32.0102.9100.91.4
280Bridgewater St.MASCAC2573105111-6-4.6-2.099.4101.44.9
281GreensboroUSAC218199105-60.30.6102.9102.3-1.0
282EdgewoodNACC2573100105-6-3.1-1.4101.7103.16.3
283Maryville (TN)USAC257396102-6-1.7-1.0101.6102.62.1
284CMSVSKY257795101-6-1.2-1.099.6100.60.3
285ImmaculataAEC277599104-6-3.3-2.2100.6102.8-5.0
286RITLL257298104-6-1.10.7100.599.92.4
287DallasSCAC237296102-6-0.7-1.399.9101.20.8
288Merchant MarineSKY266598103-6-3.4-2.199.3101.4-2.9
289Southwestern (TX)SCAC267399105-6-1.8-2.998.9101.8-5.6
290Centenary (NJ)CSAC2780103109-6-9.9-8.495.5103.9-2.2
291AuroraNACC2477100106-6-4.4-4.1100.3104.40.1
292Mt. St. Mary (NY)SKY26758794-6-1.1-0.8100.4101.22.6
293Saint VincentPAC2372102108-6-5.0-5.597.3102.81.6
294SUNY GeneseoSUNYAC26699097-66.22.9103.0100.1-0.6
295EarlhamHCAC2571101107-63.01.2104.1102.94.2
296Wis.-StoutWIAC2477100106-67.45.8105.699.8-7.1
297ElizabethtownLAND2473101107-6-3.4-2.997.2100.1-7.8
298Southern Me.LEC2374101108-72.63.3101.798.44.5
299ShenandoahODAC257596103-77.14.7102.998.22.0
300DeanNECC2678102109-7-4.8-6.197.7103.7-4.9
301Thomas (ME)NAC237497104-7-12.3-8.296.7104.9-2.4
302HiramNCAC257898105-73.93.0104.2101.1-3.6
303McMurryASC248193100-72.22.2103.1100.91.1
304DickinsonCC247394101-73.14.9103.298.43.3
305RandolphODAC247294101-79.05.4103.698.22.7
306OlivetMIAA247898105-74.25.8106.2100.46.5
307LakelandNACC2577102110-7-5.8-5.199.4104.6-9.7
308St. LawrenceLL257398105-7-1.12.5101.699.17.2
309Concordia ChicagoNACC247898106-7-5.8-3.4100.6104.01.4
310SkidmoreLL246999106-70.82.8102.099.28.6
311Lewis & ClarkNWC227497104-71.52.6105.4102.85.5
312DefianceHCAC2274104112-82.0-0.5101.9102.4-3.4
313Bridgewater (VA)ODAC257899106-82.24.2103.399.12.3
314Pacific (OR)NWC2386107114-81.52.0104.0102.03.2
315Dominican (IL)NACC257595102-8-5.8-5.599.8105.3-11.5
316Central (IA)ARC2478101109-86.45.1107.1102.01.9
317Rutgers-CamdenNJAC247494101-86.74.7102.397.6-2.3
318Mt. St. JosephHCAC2570101109-83.02.3104.1101.87.7
319FontbonneSLIAC237998106-8-8.5-7.4100.6107.96.9
320Buffalo St.SUNYAC2276102110-89.73.7103.299.53.3
321Plattsburgh St.SUNYAC257498106-8-0.62.0102.5100.6-2.8
322MarywoodAEC2773101109-8-3.3-0.2100.7100.9-1.7
323BeloitMWC256798106-82.83.2106.7103.52.2
324St. Josephs (L.I.)SKY247299108-8-5.4-3.897.6101.4-8.4
325KnoxMWC257397106-8-0.4-1.3103.8105.0-13.9
326BereaUSAC207897105-8-3.0-2.4101.0103.4-8.6
327BlackburnSLIAC2572100109-9-8.1-5.5100.5106.09.0
328MCLAMASCAC267896104-9-9.0-8.896.1104.9-10.7
329St. ScholasticaUMAC287498107-9-10.1-8.898.8107.5-4.8
330Delaware ValleyMACF247396105-9-0.30.0101.2101.2-1.7
331KenyonNCAC257096104-93.93.1104.6101.5-3.9
332Fitchburg St.MASCAC267696105-9-6.2-3.599.5103.00.5
333CabriniAEC268099108-93.20.2101.3101.1-0.1
334BeckerNECC266993102-9-6.2-6.798.4105.1-6.2
335ElmsNECC267793102-9-1.0-3.798.4102.10.0
336Penn St.-AbingtonNEAC257195104-9-9.5-7.897.4105.3-3.2
337MisericordiaMACF257393102-9-0.32.7101.598.84.6
338KeanNJAC257497106-98.35.7102.296.41.9
339Lancaster BibleNEAC287494103-9-8.6-6.897.9104.7-2.2
340SUNY New PaltzSUNYAC257893103-10-0.61.6101.8100.2-4.5
341HunterCUNYAC247393103-10-4.9-7.296.5103.7-4.6
342StevensonMACC257296106-103.22.6102.7100.1-0.9
343RosemontCSAC267697107-10-7.0-7.896.9104.7-1.8
344LutherARC257295105-103.62.9105.8103.0-4.4
345Emory & HenryODAC267999110-103.54.4103.398.90.0
346UC Santa CruzACAA176695106-10-1.0-2.799.8102.5-1.4
347MillikinCCIW257098108-1011.68.8107.999.14.2
348Clark (MA)NEWMAC257697108-115.04.0104.5100.5-6.7
349ManchesterHCAC257491102-112.00.1103.4103.2-1.0
350St. Josephs (Brkln)SKY257588100-11-2.9-1.799.7101.4-2.6
351Saint ElizabethCSAC247990101-11-10.8-9.995.7105.6-6.0
352HamlineMIAC257099110-112.83.2105.1101.91.0
353RockfordNACC2577101113-11-6.2-5.698.5104.1-10.3
354KeystoneCSAC2576101113-12-9.9-8.595.8104.3-3.4
355FredoniaSUNYAC247099111-123.41.2101.3100.1-7.9
356CazenoviaNEAC2477100112-12-3.0-6.398.0104.3-1.5
357Connecticut Col.NESCAC226996108-127.55.8104.999.2-2.4
358BrevardUSAC217394106-12-1.7-0.6101.7102.34.0
359Regis (MA)GNAC267399111-12-2.2-1.7101.3103.0-2.8
360HussonNAC277595108-12-5.1-6.397.3103.6-0.8
361Crown (MN)UMAC2474100113-12-8.7-7.997.9105.81.3
362JuniataLAND25678699-13-2.2-2.198.1100.2-6.8
363RhodesSAA257597110-131.63.3103.7100.32.3
364MacalesterMIAC257194107-132.70.4103.8103.5-14.0
365East. MennoniteODAC247192105-138.56.2103.797.56.0
366Iowa WesleyanSLIAC237895109-13-8.1-8.599.7108.1-2.3
367WilsonCSAC257688101-13-9.9-7.997.3105.2-1.7
368Salem St.MASCAC277895109-131.61.6102.2100.79.2
369North ParkCCIW247296109-1310.27.0106.899.7-2.4
370Me.-Presque IsleNAC207694108-14-6.8-7.396.6103.9-2.6
371Alfred St.AMCC257291105-14-2.2-3.7100.3104.0-4.4
372Westminster (MO)SLIAC237996110-14-8.1-6.999.9106.84.6
373ThielPAC217591106-15-5.0-4.697.9102.55.0
374York (NY)CUNYAC237693108-15-4.9-8.194.9103.0-7.7
375Minn.-MorrisUMAC207698113-15-10.5-9.797.5107.2-2.2
376DYouvilleAMCC258392108-15-2.2-5.099.6104.6-11.5
377McDanielCC246595110-151.41.9101.099.2-11.4
378SUNY MaritimeSKY257294110-16-5.9-5.797.0102.7-12.5
379MacMurraySLIAC238094110-16-8.1-6.4100.5107.05.7
380Southern Va.CAC267396113-174.44.9104.299.3-0.6
381Penn CollegeNEAC267796113-17-9.5-8.696.4105.0-7.0
382PrincipiaSLIAC237695112-17-8.5-6.8100.3107.03.9
383KeukaNEAC237894111-17-7.0-7.497.1104.5-5.3
384Howard PayneASC248092109-172.52.8102.799.80.1
385GoucherLAND247387105-17-1.31.4100.699.20.3
386NVU-LyndonNAC248398116-18-6.8-7.695.4103.1-5.0
387NVU-JohnsonNAC247289107-18-10.7-8.195.9104.0-5.7
388GallaudetNEAC247587105-19-7.9-6.297.9104.2-0.2
389La VerneSCIAC257393111-191.51.7102.1100.4-1.5
390Bethany (WV)PAC237486105-19-5.0-2.799.7102.56.8
391Bryn AthynCSAC257587106-20-8.8-7.396.7104.0-1.9
392North Central (MN)UMAC227789109-20-8.7-9.998.0107.8-7.0
393CurryCCC247690110-202.3-1.0102.3103.3-14.5
394WaynesburgPAC257187107-20-5.0-4.299.0103.20.9
395Cal LutheranSCIAC256888108-205.42.3102.7100.4-0.2
396Concordia-MheadMIAC257091111-21-0.61.5104.3102.9-11.5
397Medgar EversCUNYAC248393114-21-7.3-8.994.5103.4-11.9
398ElmiraE8257090111-21-0.60.6103.2102.6-2.6
399Framingham St.MASCAC257684105-21-5.7-3.7100.0103.7-2.2
400HoughtonE8247894115-21-0.6-2.499.0101.4-8.0
401Marian (WI)NACC246990112-21-4.4-1.7101.4103.14.1
402WellsNEAC257086108-22-7.0-6.799.2105.9-4.8
403CastletonLEC256787109-222.10.7100.499.7-6.4
404CCNYCUNYAC237488110-22-7.9-7.295.2102.5-7.2
405JWU (Denver)SCAC237387110-23-1.0-1.3100.3101.7-2.3
406WillametteNWC247892115-232.35.1106.7101.58.6
407RivierGNAC237691114-23-4.6-3.6100.2103.9-4.8
408NorwichGNAC237486110-23-4.6-5.199.2104.2-8.0
409Valley ForgeACAA148593117-23-10.1-11.495.6106.9-9.9
410Pine ManorACAA227890113-242.90.0101.2101.20.5
411SpaldingSLIAC257091115-24-8.1-7.0100.1107.1-2.1
412Martin LutherUMAC237882107-25-12.4-11.097.1108.2-12.7
413Maine MaritimeNAC237485110-25-6.8-6.197.8103.9-2.5
414Penn St.-BerksNEAC247792117-25-9.0-7.097.9104.9-4.3
415Clarks SummitCSAC257882109-27-9.9-8.796.8105.5-6.5
416Pitt.-BradfordAMCC257782111-28-2.2-3.1100.9104.0-7.3
417BardLL247285113-29-1.12.5101.699.12.6
418PrattACAA97682112-30-5.9-7.797.4105.1-5.7
419Maranatha BaptistIND97784116-32-11.4-16.391.3107.7-16.3
420NorthlandUMAC227384116-32-10.5-9.598.2107.7-9.8
421LesleyNECC248282118-360.60.0101.7101.73.1
422FinlandiaACAA158484123-39-2.4-2.2102.6104.8-2.2