Monday, December 5, 2011

Regional Rankings 12/5/2011

These regional rankings are not official. I use my own formula (heavily based on RPI). All data comes via d3hoops.com.

It's still very, very early -- several teams have only played one or two in-region games -- but I think everyone has at least one game in, so I've decided to get along with these rankings.

A few notes:

  • This is not a 'top-25 'poll or power poll. The point of these rankings is not to determine who I actually think are the best teams, but to approximate the NCAA's official regional rankings that are released starting in late January or early February.
  • These rankings attempt to account for in-region winning percentage (primary criterion), in-region strength of schedule (primary), results versus regionally ranked teams (primary), division III winning percentage (secondary criterion), and division III strength of schedule (secondary). It does not currently account for head-to-head matchups or results versus common opponents (both primary criteria), so feel free to ‘adjust’ the rankings accordingly.
  • I 'award' the Pool A bid to the team with the highest RPI (versus all D-III teams). Since 97.6% of the automatic bids are doled out to winners of conference tournaments anyway, I figured this was about as relevant as using actual standings (and 100 times easier).
  • For now, I'm assuming that the home/away multipliers that were put into place last year are still in play. The Pre-Championship manual has yet to be released by the NCAA, so I'll adjust that assumption later if necessary.

Through games of 12/4/2011




Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
NE1AmherstNESCAC1.0000.7090.7823AC 5-06-00-06-0
NE2Albertus MagnusGNAC1.0000.6330.7255AC 5-05-00-05-0
NE3Western ConnecticutLEC0.8570.6980.73813C36-16-10-06-1
NE4WPINEWMAC1.0000.5450.65914AC 6-06-00-06-0
NE5Rhode Island CollegeLEC1.0000.5350.65116C57-07-00-07-0
NE6MiddleburyNESCAC1.0000.5340.65118C63-04-00-05-0
NE7TuftsNESCAC0.8570.6530.70423C86-16-10-06-1
NE8MITNEWMAC1.0000.4540.59029C98-08-00-08-0
NE9St. Josephs (Maine)GNAC0.8000.5670.62554C254-14-10-04-1
NE10Salem StateMASCAC0.7140.6300.65161A5-26-20-06-2
NE11WesleyanNESCAC0.8570.4670.56566C366-16-10-06-1
NE12ElmsNECC0.5000.7920.71985A2-22-30-02-3
NE13BabsonNEWMAC0.7780.5010.57087C557-27-20-07-2
NE14ClarkNEWMAC0.8000.4800.56088C564-14-20-04-2
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
EA1HartwickE81.0000.6390.7296C17-07-00-07-0
EA2HobartLL1.0000.5780.6849AC 6-06-00-06-0
EA3Buffalo StateSUNYAC1.0000.4640.59827AwC4-04-00-05-0
EA4MedailleAMCC1.0000.4340.57632AwC6-06-00-07-0
EA5HamiltonNESCAC1.0000.4150.56138C145-07-00-08-0
EA6New York UniversityUAA1.0000.3820.53746Abub3-03-00-03-0
EA7Fredonia StateSUNYAC0.8570.5180.60258C296-16-10-06-1
EA8NazarethE80.7140.5650.60284C535-25-20-05-2
EA9Cortland StateSUNYAC0.8330.3790.493116C805-15-10-05-1
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
AT1St. Josephs (L.I.)SKY1.0000.5890.6928AC 5-05-00-05-0
AT2Staten IslandCUNYAC0.8000.7380.75319AwC4-14-20-04-2
AT3William PatersonNJAC1.0000.4770.60826AwC7-07-00-07-0
AT4New Jersey CityNJAC1.0000.4370.57730C105-05-00-05-0
AT5New JerseyNJAC0.5000.8990.79950C232-22-20-02-2
AT6LehmanCUNYAC0.6670.6590.66169C392-13-10-05-1
AT7HunterCUNYAC0.6000.7000.67579C483-23-30-03-3
AT8BrooklynCUNYAC0.8330.4350.53489C575-15-10-05-1
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
MA1LycomingMACC1.0000.5510.66312AC 5-05-00-06-0
MA2CatholicLAND1.0000.5110.63322AwC6-06-00-06-0
MA3CabriniCSAC1.0000.4850.61424AwC5-05-00-05-0
MA4St. Marys (Md.)CAC0.7140.7040.70741AwC5-25-20-05-2
MA5KeystoneCSAC0.6670.7270.71249C224-24-20-04-2
MA6MisericordiaMACF0.8570.5210.60552Abub6-16-10-06-1
MA7Franklin and MarshallCC1.0000.3490.51260C317-07-00-07-0
MA8HoodCAC0.7500.5850.62665C353-13-20-04-2
MA9Johns HopkinsCC0.8330.4660.55873A5-15-10-05-1
MA10JuniataLAND0.8570.4270.53483C526-16-10-06-1
MA11WilkesMACF0.8000.4800.56086C544-14-10-05-1
MA12AlverniaMACC0.4000.8550.741101C682-32-30-02-3
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
SO1RandolphODAC1.0000.4820.61225AwC3-03-00-04-2
SO2Virginia WesleyanODAC0.8330.6090.66531C115-15-10-05-1
SO3Hardin-SimmonsASC1.0000.4150.56140C165-05-00-05-0
SO4EmoryUAA1.0000.4050.55445C207-07-00-07-0
SO5Mary Hardin-BaylorASC1.0000.3990.54947C214-05-00-05-0
SO6CentreSCAC0.5710.8280.76448Abub4-34-30-04-3
SO7Texas-DallasASC0.8330.4830.57068C385-16-10-06-1
SO8RhodesSCAC1.0000.3140.48672C424-05-20-05-2
SO9Louisiana CollegeASC0.7500.5520.60275C443-13-10-02-1
SO10Washington and LeeODAC0.6670.6320.64077C464-25-30-05-3
SO11Trinity (Texas)SCAC0.5000.7950.72181C504-44-40-04-4
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
GL1WabashNCAC1.0000.8600.8951AC 4-04-00-06-0
GL2HopeMIAA1.0000.8220.8672AC 1-02-00-06-1
GL3WoosterNCAC1.0000.5660.67410C25-05-00-05-0
GL4Baldwin-WallaceOAC0.8000.6530.69028AwC4-14-10-04-1
GL5BethanyPrAC1.0000.4250.56934AwC6-06-00-06-0
GL6St. VincentPrAC0.7500.6810.69837C133-13-10-05-1
GL7MariettaOAC0.8000.5640.62355C264-14-10-04-1
GL8OlivetMIAA1.0000.3850.53957C281-01-10-01-5
GL9Ohio NorthernOAC0.6670.6620.66363C332-14-10-04-1
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
MW1EdgewoodNATHC1.0000.6930.7704AC 5-05-00-07-0
MW2TransylvaniaHCAC1.0000.5090.63220AwC4-04-00-04-0
MW3CarthageCCIW1.0000.5390.65521C72-02-20-02-3
MW4GrinnellMWC1.0000.4140.56035AwC5-05-00-06-0
MW5Washington U.UAA0.8330.5740.63944C195-15-20-05-2
MW6RiponMWC0.7500.6260.65753C243-13-10-03-1
MW7Rose-HulmanHCAC0.8330.5360.61156C275-15-10-05-1
MW8AugustanaCCIW0.8000.5520.61459C304-14-10-05-1
MW9Lake ForestMWC0.8330.4680.56071C415-15-10-05-1
MW10Concordia (Wis.)NATHC0.6670.6310.64078C474-24-20-05-2
MW11North Central (Ill.)CCIW0.7500.5430.59580C493-13-20-03-2
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
WE1UW-River FallsWIAC0.8330.7790.7937AC 5-15-10-05-2
WE2St. ThomasMIAC0.8000.7690.77711AC 4-14-10-05-1
WE3Puget SoundNWC1.0000.5360.65215C44-04-00-07-0
WE4George FoxNWC0.5001.0400.90517AC 1-11-10-02-4
WE5Nebraska WesleyanIND1.0000.4290.57233B14-04-00-04-3
WE6UW-WhitewaterWIAC1.0000.4210.56636C126-06-00-06-0
WE7WhitworthNWC1.0000.4070.55539C156-06-00-06-0
WE8AugsburgMIAC1.0000.4060.55542C174-04-00-04-0
WE9DubuqueIIAC1.0000.4060.55443C184-04-00-05-0
WE10Claremont-Mudd-ScrippsSCIAC1.0000.3880.54151Abub4-04-00-06-0
WE11UW-StoutWIAC0.7500.5880.62962C323-13-10-03-4
WE12UW-Stevens PointWIAC0.8000.5280.59664C344-15-10-05-1

KEY:
WP - Winning percentage
wSOS - Strength of schedule (including home/neutral/away adjustment)

NAT - National rank (according to my formula)

C - "Guaranteed" Pool C (within top 18 RPI in nation)
wC - Within Pool C position (within RPI range of current top 18 Pool C candidates)
bub - Pool C bubble (within RPI range of current top 28 Pool C candidates)
number - Current RPI rank among Pool C candidates.

REG - record versus in-region opponents
D3 - record versus all D3 opponents
vRRO - record versus regionally ranked opponents
OVR - overall record

I'll have the women's rankings post up hopefully tonight or tomorrow.

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