What a night, am I right?
I've been tracking regional data numbers all year, so I thought I'd sit down and collect some thoughts on the selection and bracketing process.
The first thing the regional committees will do is generate a new set of regional rankings. Unfortunately these will never be made public (NCAA transparency issues and all), but we can take a stab at it here. The RACs will be rigorous with their rankings, but we can take a shortcut for out mock selection purposes and use last week's ranking as a guide while removing teams who have received automatic bids.
Pool A bids:
| Conference |
Team |
Reg. |
| AMCC |
Medaille |
GL |
| ASC |
East Texas Baptist |
SO |
| CAC |
Salisbury |
MA |
| CC |
Dickinson |
MA |
| CCC |
Endicott |
NE |
| CCIW |
Augustana |
CE |
| CSAC |
Neumann |
AT |
| CUNYAC |
Baruch |
AT |
| E8 |
St. John Fisher |
EA |
| GNAC |
Albertus Magnus |
NE |
| HCAC |
Defiance |
GL |
| IIAC |
Dubuque |
WE |
| LAND |
Scranton |
MA |
| LEC |
Keene State |
NE |
| LL |
Skidmore |
EA |
| MACC |
Alvernia |
MA |
| MACF |
Misericordia |
AT |
| MASCAC |
Westfield State |
NE |
| MIAA |
Calvin |
GL |
| MIAC |
St. Thomas |
WE |
| MWC |
St. Norbert |
CE |
| NAC |
Colby-Sawyer |
NE |
| NATHC |
Concordia (Wis.) |
CE |
| NCAC |
DePauw |
GL |
| NEAC |
SUNY-Cobleskill |
EA |
| NECC |
Regis (Mass.) |
NE |
| NESCAC |
Wesleyan |
NE |
| NEWMAC |
Babson |
NE |
| NJAC |
Richard Stockton |
AT |
| NWC |
Whitworth |
WE |
| OAC |
Mount Union |
GL |
| ODAC |
Randolph-Macon |
SO |
| PrAC |
St. Vincent |
GL |
| SAA |
Rhodes |
SO |
| SCAC |
Texas Lutheran |
SO |
| SCIAC |
Claremont-Mudd-Scripps |
WE |
| SKY |
Sage |
AT |
| SLIAC |
Spalding |
CE |
| SUNYAC |
Oswego State |
EA |
| UAA |
Emory |
SO |
| UMAC |
Northwestern (Minn.) |
WE |
| USAC |
LaGrange |
SO |
| WIAC |
UW-Whitewater |
CE |
That makes 43 of our 62 bids, leaving us with 19 Pool C bids to give away (there is no Pool B this year).
Now, leaving those teams out the discussion, we can rank the regions using only Pool C candidates. The national committee considers on the top-ranked team from each region at one time, so this is the projected order that teams will "come to the board". We can use
last week's rankings as a guide and adjust based on overall numbers, including what happened this week in conference tournaments.
This is still pending the result of the Centenary (La.) vs. Texas Lutheran final. I don't think it will affect what I have here, but it might change some of the numbers slightly. I'll update later on if it does.
I have not adjusted the results versus regionally ranked column to take into account newly ranked teams. That's probably Alvernia in the MA and Concordia (Texas) in the South.
Atlantic Region
| Reg. |
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
WP |
SOS |
RPI |
Rank |
Pool |
Status |
D3 |
vRRO |
OVR |
| AT |
1 |
William Paterson |
NJAC |
0.741 |
0.565 |
0.609 |
22 |
C |
12 |
20-7 |
4-3 |
20-7 |
| AT |
2 |
Brooklyn |
CUNYAC |
0.786 |
0.507 |
0.577 |
61 |
C |
36 |
22-6 |
2-3 |
22-6 |
| AT |
3 |
Rutgers-Newark |
NJAC |
0.667 |
0.572 |
0.596 |
37 |
C |
20 |
18-9 |
1-6 |
18-9 |
Central Region
| Reg. |
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
WP |
SOS |
RPI |
Rank |
Pool |
Status |
D3 |
vRRO |
OVR |
| CE |
1 |
UW-Stevens Point |
WIAC |
0.808 |
0.575 |
0.633 |
8 |
C |
2 |
21-5 |
2-4 |
21-5 |
| CE |
2 |
Washington U. |
UAA |
0.800 |
0.565 |
0.624 |
10 |
C |
3 |
20-5 |
4-2 |
20-5 |
| CE |
3 |
Illinois Wesleyan |
CCIW |
0.704 |
0.591 |
0.619 |
13 |
C |
6 |
19-8 |
5-5 |
19-7 |
| CE |
4 |
Elmhurst |
CCIW |
0.731 |
0.551 |
0.596 |
36 |
C |
19 |
19-7 |
4-4 |
19-7 |
| CE |
5 |
North Central (Ill.) |
CCIW |
0.667 |
0.587 |
0.607 |
23 |
C |
13 |
16-8 |
3-6 |
18-8 |
East Region
| Reg. |
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
WP |
SOS |
RPI |
Rank |
Pool |
Status |
D3 |
vRRO |
OVR |
| EA |
1 |
Plattsburgh State |
SUNYAC |
0.704 |
0.534 |
0.576 |
63 |
C |
38 |
19-8 |
1-0 |
19-8 |
| EA |
2 |
New York University |
UAA |
0.680 |
0.544 |
0.578 |
60 |
C |
35 |
17-8 |
3-2 |
17-8 |
| EA |
3 |
Hobart |
LL |
0.720 |
0.509 |
0.562 |
88 |
C |
60 |
18-7 |
3-2 |
18-8 |
| EA |
4 |
Clarkson |
LL |
0.731 |
0.512 |
0.567 |
80 |
C |
54 |
19-7 |
2-5 |
20-7 |
Great Lakes Region
| Reg. |
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
WP |
SOS |
RPI |
Rank |
Pool |
Status |
D3 |
vRRO |
OVR |
| GL |
1 |
Marietta |
OAC |
0.893 |
0.519 |
0.612 |
20 |
C |
10 |
25-3 |
4-3 |
25-3 |
| GL |
2 |
Ohio Wesleyan |
NCAC |
0.815 |
0.537 |
0.607 |
24 |
C |
14 |
22-5 |
3-1 |
22-5 |
| GL |
3 |
Wooster |
NCAC |
0.786 |
0.551 |
0.609 |
21 |
C |
11 |
22-6 |
3-2 |
22-6 |
| GL |
4 |
John Carroll |
OAC |
0.769 |
0.527 |
0.587 |
48 |
C |
27 |
20-6 |
3-3 |
20-6 |
| GL |
5 |
Penn State-Behrend |
AMCC |
0.885 |
0.469 |
0.573 |
72 |
C |
47 |
23-3 |
1-1 |
23-3 |
| GL |
6 |
Hope |
MIAA |
0.680 |
0.558 |
0.588 |
45 |
C |
25 |
17-8 |
2-6 |
18-9 |
Middle Atlantic Region
| Reg. |
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
WP |
SOS |
RPI |
Rank |
Pool |
Status |
D3 |
vRRO |
OVR |
| MA |
1 |
Johns Hopkins |
CC |
0.852 |
0.539 |
0.617 |
16 |
C |
7 |
23-4 |
3-3 |
23-4 |
| MA |
2 |
Catholic |
LAND |
0.846 |
0.506 |
0.591 |
39 |
C |
21 |
22-4 |
1-3 |
22-5 |
| MA |
3 |
Franklin and Marshall |
CC |
0.769 |
0.517 |
0.580 |
59 |
C |
34 |
20-6 |
3-3 |
20-6 |
Northeast Region
| Reg. |
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
WP |
SOS |
RPI |
Rank |
Pool |
Status |
D3 |
vRRO |
OVR |
| NE |
1 |
Amherst |
NESCAC |
0.741 |
0.579 |
0.619 |
12 |
C |
5 |
20-7 |
6-3 |
20-7 |
| NE |
2 |
Trinity (Conn.) |
NESCAC |
0.792 |
0.535 |
0.599 |
29 |
C |
16 |
19-5 |
5-1 |
20-6 |
| NE |
3 |
Bates |
NESCAC |
0.760 |
0.609 |
0.647 |
4 |
C |
1 |
19-6 |
4-5 |
19-6 |
| NE |
4 |
Eastern Connecticut |
LEC |
0.815 |
0.550 |
0.617 |
17 |
C |
8 |
22-5 |
0-2 |
22-5 |
| NE |
5 |
Springfield |
NEWMAC |
0.704 |
0.584 |
0.614 |
18 |
C |
9 |
19-8 |
3-5 |
19-8 |
| NE |
6 |
Bowdoin |
NESCAC |
0.692 |
0.571 |
0.601 |
28 |
C |
15 |
18-8 |
1-6 |
18-8 |
| NE |
7 |
WPI |
NEWMAC |
0.808 |
0.515 |
0.588 |
44 |
C |
24 |
21-5 |
2-3 |
21-5 |
South Region
| Reg. |
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
WP |
SOS |
RPI |
Rank |
Pool |
Status |
D3 |
vRRO |
OVR |
| SO |
2 |
Virginia Wesleyan |
ODAC |
0.815 |
0.554 |
0.619 |
11 |
C |
4 |
22-5 |
0-4 |
23-5 |
| SO |
5 |
Centre |
SAA |
0.800 |
0.513 |
0.584 |
53 |
C |
30 |
20-5 |
1-2 |
21-5 |
| SO |
6 |
Hardin-Simmons |
ASC |
0.741 |
0.531 |
0.583 |
55 |
C |
31 |
20-7 |
2-2 |
20-7 |
| SO |
8 |
Concordia (Texas) |
ASC |
0.667 |
0.543 |
0.574 |
69 |
C |
44 |
18-9 |
4-5 |
18-10 |
West Region
| Reg. |
Rank |
Team |
Conf |
WP |
SOS |
RPI |
Rank |
Pool |
Status |
D3 |
vRRO |
OVR |
| WE |
1 |
Bethel |
MIAC |
0.679 |
0.564 |
0.592 |
39 |
C |
21 |
19-9 |
4-3 |
19-8 |
| WE |
2 |
St. Olaf |
MIAC |
0.808 |
0.527 |
0.597 |
35 |
C |
18 |
21-5 |
1-5 |
21-5 |
| WE |
3 |
Whitman |
NWC |
0.792 |
0.520 |
0.588 |
48 |
C |
27 |
19-5 |
2-2 |
20-6 |
| WE |
4 |
Buena Vista |
IIAC |
0.720 |
0.527 |
0.576 |
66 |
C |
41 |
18-7 |
3-1 |
18-8 |
This is already longer than I expected, so I'll split this into two posts. Here are the rankings, then I'll go through the selection process to follow.
