Friday, January 14, 2011

Adrian Preview

WhoAdrian Bulldogs
WhereAdrian, MI
WhenSat. - 7:30 PM
Web VideoNone
Web AudioAudio
Tickets$5, $3
DirectionsGoogle Maps

When We Last Met
Adrian was making a run in the standings late last season when the Calvin Knights made the trek to the Merillat Gymnasium. The Bulldogs (7-3) trailed Calvin and Hope (both 8-2) by only a single game, and, since they still had the Knights and the Dutchmen remaining on the schedule, they were in a position to claim a share of the league title.

But the Knights didn’t yield to the wishes of the Adrian Bulldogs. Calvin lead for almost the entire game (Adrian took one lead in the first half), and left town with an eleven point win.

MatchupCalvinOlivet Advantage 
Calvin eFG% vs. Adrian DeFG%0.5170.435Adrian
Calvin DeFG% vs. Adrian eFG%0.4920.438Calvin
Calvin TO% vs. Adrian DTO%0.210.23Adrian
Calvin DTO% vs. Adrian TO%0.180.23-
Calvin ORb% vs. Adrian DRb%0.3640.693Calvin
Calvin DRb% vs. Adrian ORb%0.7060.350-
Calvin FTr vs. Adrain DFTr0.320.44-
Calvin DFTr vs. Adrain FTr0.320.33Calvin
Calvin OEff vs. Adrain DEff107.190.4Adrian
Calvin DEff vs. Adrain OEff102.692.8Calvin

As you can see from the DeFG% and DEff numbers, Adrian hangs their hat on hard-nosed defense.

They reportedly play a deliberate style of offense that picks and pokes at the opposing defense, but it doesn't appear to be particularly effective. They're only effectively shooting 44%, and their offensive efficiency rating is a pretty poor 92.8.

But their defense is better than their offense is bad, so they're still a dangerous team. Calvin is going to have to take care of the ball and make their possessions count -- something they struggle with at times -- if they want to pick up a road win on Saturday.

Sure To Be Wrong Prediction
Calvin by 9
Need to win level: high
Expected to win level: high

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