You may notice that the 'SOS' and 'RPI' columns are now noted 'wSOS' and 'wRPI'. This is to signify that these numbers are calculated as weighted numbers (using the OWP and OOWP adjustments as described in the NCAA handbook).
Keep in mind that these rankings are really just a starting point. I don't adjust the rankings to account for head-to-head matchups or common opponents or anything, so feel free to adjust as you see fit.
I'm handing out the 'A' bid to the team with the highest rating. I simply can't (and won't) go through every conference to determine the leader at this point in the season. And since the Pool A bid goes to the conference tournament champion (except in the UAA), I'm OK with this shortcut.
There are some pretty whacked out things in these rankings right now. Check out John Carroll and Adrian in the Great Lakes. They're getting tons of love for their sky-high SOS, but the committee won't like their low winning percentages. Please remember that this is just raw WP and SOS data combined in a customary RPI calculation. It's just a starting point. The real rankings won't follow this list particularly closely.
When the official rankings come out on Wednesday, the NCAA will have ranked three fewer teams per region. I like to 'rank' more than they do so that we can get a picture of who might also be in the mix (not implying that my list is complete).
Enjoy.
Reg. | Rank | Team | Conference | WP | wSOS | wRPI | Nat. | Pool | Status | REG | D3 | vRRO | OVR |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
NE | 1 | Williams | NESCAC | 0.944 | 0.588 | 0.677 | 1 | A | C | 17-1 | 18-1 | 0-0 | 19-1 |
NE | 2 | Middlebury | NESCAC | 0.929 | 0.560 | 0.653 | 3 | C | 1 | 13-1 | 15-1 | 0-0 | 16-1 |
NE | 3 | WPI | NEWMAC | 0.895 | 0.535 | 0.625 | 11 | A | C | 17-2 | 17-2 | 0-0 | 17-3 |
NE | 4 | Elms | NECC | 0.750 | 0.576 | 0.620 | 13 | A | C | 12-4 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 13-5 |
NE | 5 | Western Connecticut | LEC | 0.889 | 0.523 | 0.614 | 14 | A | C | 16-2 | 17-2 | 0-0 | 17-2 |
NE | 6 | Bowdoin | NESCAC | 0.706 | 0.573 | 0.606 | 17 | C | 5 | 12-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 12-5 |
NE | 7 | Rhode Island College | LEC | 0.632 | 0.591 | 0.601 | 24 | C | 10 | 12-7 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 12-7 |
NE | 8 | Becker | NECC | 0.842 | 0.506 | 0.590 | 38 | C | 15 | 16-3 | 16-3 | 0-0 | 16-3 |
NE | 9 | Trinity (Conn.) | NESCAC | 0.526 | 0.590 | 0.574 | 55 | C | 27 | 10-9 | 11-9 | 0-0 | 11-9 |
NE | 10 | Plymouth State | LEC | 0.471 | 0.596 | 0.564 | 69 | C | 39 | 8-9 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 9-10 |
NE | 11 | Eastern Connecticut | LEC | 0.733 | 0.507 | 0.563 | 70 | C | 40 | 11-4 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 13-5 |
NE | 12 | Roger Williams | CCC | 0.632 | 0.538 | 0.561 | 75 | A | 12-7 | 12-7 | 0-0 | 12-7 | |
NE | 13 | Keene State | LEC | 0.737 | 0.498 | 0.557 | 81 | C | 46 | 14-5 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 14-5 |
NE | 14 | Connecticut College | NESCAC | 0.474 | 0.582 | 0.555 | 87 | C | 52 | 9-10 | 9-10 | 0-0 | 10-10 |
Reg. | Rank | Team | Conference | WP | wSOS | wRPI | Nat. | Pool | Status | REG | D3 | vRRO | OVR |
EA | 1 | Oswego State | SUNYAC | 0.824 | 0.521 | 0.597 | 28 | A | wC | 14-3 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 14-3 |
EA | 2 | Ithaca | E8 | 0.778 | 0.530 | 0.592 | 35 | A | wC | 14-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 15-4 |
EA | 3 | Rochester | UAA | 0.813 | 0.516 | 0.590 | 37 | A | wC | 13-3 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 14-4 |
EA | 4 | Stevens | E8 | 0.706 | 0.535 | 0.577 | 50 | C | 24 | 12-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 12-5 |
EA | 5 | Hobart | LL | 0.824 | 0.487 | 0.571 | 57 | A | 14-3 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 14-4 | |
EA | 6 | Skidmore | LL | 0.647 | 0.535 | 0.563 | 71 | C | 41 | 11-6 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 11-7 |
EA | 7 | Plattsburgh State | SUNYAC | 0.786 | 0.487 | 0.562 | 74 | C | 43 | 11-3 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 12-5 |
EA | 8 | Clarkson | LL | 0.462 | 0.589 | 0.558 | 80 | C | 45 | 6-7 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 10-8 |
EA | 9 | Buffalo State | SUNYAC | 0.571 | 0.550 | 0.555 | 86 | C | 51 | 8-6 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 11-6 |
Reg. | Rank | Team | Conference | WP | wSOS | wRPI | Nat. | Pool | Status | REG | D3 | vRRO | OVR |
AT | 1 | Ramapo | NJAC | 0.882 | 0.509 | 0.603 | 21 | A | wC | 15-2 | 16-3 | 0-0 | 16-4 |
AT | 2 | Kean | NJAC | 0.765 | 0.548 | 0.602 | 22 | C | 8 | 13-4 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 14-6 |
AT | 3 | Staten Island | CUNYAC | 0.813 | 0.522 | 0.595 | 30 | A | wC | 13-3 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 14-4 |
AT | 4 | Richard Stockton | NJAC | 0.600 | 0.588 | 0.591 | 36 | C | 14 | 9-6 | 10-7 | 0-0 | 10-7 |
AT | 5 | Mount St. Mary | SKY | 0.706 | 0.518 | 0.565 | 66 | A | 12-5 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 13-5 | |
AT | 6 | Merchant Marine | LAND | 0.563 | 0.558 | 0.559 | 77 | A | 9-7 | 10-9 | 0-0 | 11-9 | |
AT | 7 | Montclair State | NJAC | 0.714 | 0.503 | 0.555 | 85 | C | 50 | 10-4 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 16-4 |
AT | 8 | Rutgers-Newark | NJAC | 0.750 | 0.487 | 0.553 | 94 | C | 59 | 15-5 | 15-5 | 0-0 | 15-5 |
Reg. | Rank | Team | Conference | WP | wSOS | wRPI | Nat. | Pool | Status | REG | D3 | vRRO | OVR |
MA | 1 | DeSales | MACF | 0.706 | 0.558 | 0.595 | 29 | A | wC | 12-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 14-5 |
MA | 2 | Elizabethtown | MACC | 0.824 | 0.517 | 0.594 | 32 | A | wC | 14-3 | 15-3 | 0-0 | 15-3 |
MA | 3 | Cabrini | CSAC | 0.765 | 0.531 | 0.589 | 39 | A | wC | 13-4 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 13-4 |
MA | 4 | Keystone | CSAC | 0.824 | 0.506 | 0.586 | 45 | C | 21 | 14-3 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 14-3 |
MA | 5 | La Roche | AMCC | 0.889 | 0.484 | 0.586 | 46 | A | bub | 16-2 | 16-2 | 0-0 | 17-2 |
MA | 6 | Wesley | CAC | 0.786 | 0.508 | 0.577 | 51 | A | bub | 11-3 | 13-6 | 0-0 | 13-6 |
MA | 7 | Delaware Valley | MACF | 0.563 | 0.571 | 0.569 | 60 | C | 31 | 9-7 | 11-7 | 0-0 | 12-7 |
MA | 8 | Lycoming | MACC | 0.500 | 0.590 | 0.568 | 64 | C | 35 | 7-7 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 12-7 |
MA | 9 | Salisbury | CAC | 0.375 | 0.628 | 0.565 | 67 | C | 37 | 6-10 | 7-10 | 0-0 | 7-11 |
MA | 10 | Franklin and Marshall | CC | 0.765 | 0.489 | 0.558 | 79 | A | 13-4 | 15-4 | 0-0 | 15-4 | |
MA | 11 | St. Marys (Md.) | CAC | 0.813 | 0.471 | 0.557 | 83 | C | 48 | 13-3 | 15-3 | 0-0 | 15-4 |
MA | 12 | Eastern | MACF | 0.625 | 0.531 | 0.555 | 89 | C | 54 | 10-6 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 11-6 |
Reg. | Rank | Team | Conference | WP | wSOS | wRPI | Nat. | Pool | Status | REG | D3 | vRRO | OVR |
SO | 1 | Virginia Wesleyan | ODAC | 0.941 | 0.515 | 0.621 | 12 | A | C | 16-1 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 18-1 |
SO | 2 | Randolph-Macon | ODAC | 0.842 | 0.526 | 0.605 | 18 | C | 6 | 16-3 | 17-3 | 0-0 | 17-3 |
SO | 3 | Christopher Newport | USAC | 0.692 | 0.575 | 0.605 | 19 | A | wC | 9-4 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 13-5 |
SO | 4 | Texas-Dallas | ASC | 0.765 | 0.545 | 0.600 | 25 | A | wC | 13-4 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 14-4 |
SO | 5 | Maryville (Tenn.) | GSAC | 0.600 | 0.592 | 0.594 | 31 | C | 12 | 9-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 13-7 |
SO | 6 | East Texas Baptist | ASC | 0.722 | 0.545 | 0.589 | 40 | C | 16 | 13-5 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 13-6 |
SO | 7 | Randolph | ODAC | 0.692 | 0.547 | 0.583 | 47 | C | 22 | 9-4 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 13-5 |
SO | 8 | Ferrum | USAC | 0.882 | 0.465 | 0.569 | 59 | C | 30 | 15-2 | 17-2 | 0-0 | 18-2 |
SO | 9 | Guilford | ODAC | 0.650 | 0.540 | 0.568 | 63 | C | 34 | 13-7 | 13-7 | 0-0 | 13-7 |
SO | 10 | North Carolina Wesleyan | USAC | 0.714 | 0.517 | 0.566 | 65 | C | 36 | 10-4 | 11-4 | 0-0 | 14-6 |
SO | 11 | Centre | SCAC | 0.813 | 0.479 | 0.562 | 73 | A | 13-3 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 15-3 | |
Reg. | Rank | Team | Conference | WP | wSOS | wRPI | Nat. | Pool | Status | REG | D3 | vRRO | OVR |
GL | 1 | Hope | MIAA | 0.909 | 0.546 | 0.636 | 7 | A | C | 10-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 | 14-5 |
GL | 2 | Wooster | NCAC | 1.000 | 0.504 | 0.628 | 9 | A | C | 16-0 | 17-0 | 0-0 | 19-0 |
GL | 3 | John Carroll | OAC | 0.647 | 0.583 | 0.599 | 26 | A | wC | 11-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 13-6 |
GL | 4 | Adrian | MIAA | 0.556 | 0.604 | 0.592 | 34 | C | 13 | 5-4 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 10-8 |
GL | 5 | Wabash | NCAC | 0.833 | 0.506 | 0.588 | 43 | C | 19 | 15-3 | 15-3 | 0-0 | 16-3 |
GL | 6 | Ohio Wesleyan | NCAC | 0.579 | 0.575 | 0.576 | 52 | C | 25 | 11-8 | 11-8 | 0-0 | 12-8 |
GL | 7 | Thiel | PrAC | 0.769 | 0.512 | 0.576 | 53 | A | bub | 10-3 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 13-6 |
GL | 8 | Bethany | PrAC | 0.737 | 0.497 | 0.557 | 82 | C | 47 | 14-5 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 14-5 |
GL | 9 | Calvin | MIAA | 0.700 | 0.504 | 0.553 | 93 | C | 58 | 7-3 | 7-6 | 0-0 | 10-10 |
Reg. | Rank | Team | Conference | WP | wSOS | wRPI | Nat. | Pool | Status | REG | D3 | vRRO | OVR |
MW | 1 | Augustana | CCIW | 1.000 | 0.512 | 0.634 | 8 | A | C | 18-0 | 18-0 | 0-0 | 19-0 |
MW | 2 | North Central (Ill.) | CCIW | 0.563 | 0.629 | 0.612 | 16 | C | 4 | 9-7 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 10-9 |
MW | 3 | Concordia (Wis.) | NATHC | 0.882 | 0.497 | 0.593 | 33 | A | wC | 15-2 | 15-2 | 0-0 | 17-3 |
MW | 4 | Washington U. | UAA | 0.588 | 0.588 | 0.588 | 42 | C | 18 | 10-7 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 10-8 |
MW | 5 | Hanover | HCAC | 0.706 | 0.542 | 0.583 | 48 | A | bub | 12-5 | 13-5 | 0-0 | 13-5 |
MW | 6 | Illinois Wesleyan | CCIW | 0.722 | 0.532 | 0.580 | 49 | C | 23 | 13-5 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 14-5 |
MW | 7 | Edgewood | NATHC | 0.765 | 0.513 | 0.576 | 54 | C | 26 | 13-4 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 13-6 |
MW | 8 | Milwaukee Engineering | NATHC | 0.722 | 0.517 | 0.568 | 62 | C | 33 | 13-5 | 14-5 | 0-0 | 14-5 |
MW | 9 | Manchester | HCAC | 0.706 | 0.515 | 0.563 | 72 | C | 42 | 12-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 13-6 |
MW | 10 | Wheaton (Ill.) | CCIW | 0.571 | 0.557 | 0.561 | 76 | C | 44 | 8-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 13-6 |
MW | 11 | Illinois College | MWC | 0.600 | 0.545 | 0.559 | 78 | A | 9-6 | 9-6 | 0-0 | 11-6 | |
Reg. | Rank | Team | Conference | WP | wSOS | wRPI | Nat. | Pool | Status | REG | D3 | vRRO | OVR |
WE | 1 | UW-Stevens Point | WIAC | 0.842 | 0.592 | 0.654 | 2 | A | C | 16-3 | 17-3 | 0-0 | 17-3 |
WE | 2 | Chapman | IND | 0.933 | 0.555 | 0.649 | 4 | B | 1 | 14-1 | 15-1 | 0-0 | 17-3 |
WE | 3 | UW-River Falls | WIAC | 0.941 | 0.539 | 0.640 | 5 | C | 2 | 16-1 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 18-2 |
WE | 4 | Lewis and Clark | NWC | 0.727 | 0.609 | 0.639 | 6 | A | C | 8-3 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 14-5 |
WE | 5 | St. Thomas | MIAC | 0.941 | 0.522 | 0.627 | 10 | A | C | 16-1 | 16-1 | 0-0 | 17-1 |
WE | 6 | Whitworth | NWC | 1.000 | 0.485 | 0.613 | 15 | C | 3 | 19-0 | 19-0 | 0-0 | 19-0 |
WE | 7 | Gustavus Adolphus | MIAC | 0.706 | 0.571 | 0.604 | 20 | C | 7 | 12-5 | 12-5 | 0-0 | 12-6 |
WE | 8 | Augsburg | MIAC | 0.667 | 0.580 | 0.602 | 23 | C | 9 | 12-6 | 12-6 | 0-0 | 12-6 |
WE | 9 | Carleton | MIAC | 0.667 | 0.576 | 0.599 | 27 | C | 11 | 10-5 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 10-7 |
WE | 10 | Hamline | MIAC | 0.529 | 0.608 | 0.588 | 41 | C | 17 | 9-8 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 9-8 |
WE | 11 | Whitman | NWC | 0.667 | 0.559 | 0.586 | 44 | C | 20 | 8-4 | 9-4 | 0-0 | 13-6 |
WE | 12 | Pacific Lutheran | NWC | 0.714 | 0.523 | 0.571 | 56 | C | 28 | 10-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 | 12-6 |
KEY:
WP - Winning percentage
wSOS - Strength of schedule (including home/neutral/away adjustment)
NAT - National rank of in-region RPI
C - "Guaranteed" Pool C (within top 18 RPI in nation)
wC - Within Pool C position (within RPI range of current top 18 Pool C candidates)
bub - Pool C bubble (within RPI range of current top 28 Pool C candidates)
number - Current RPI rank among Pool C candidates.
REG - record versus in-region opponents
D3 - record versus all D3 opponents
vRRO - record versus regionally ranked opponents
OVR - overall record