Monday, January 31, 2011

Regional Rankings 1/31/2011

These regional rankings are not official. They are calculated based on in-region RPI, which is not a criteria of the NCAA selection committee. All data comes via d3hoops.com.

You may notice that the 'SOS' and 'RPI' columns are now noted 'wSOS' and 'wRPI'. This is to signify that these numbers are calculated as weighted numbers (using the OWP and OOWP adjustments as described in the NCAA handbook).

Keep in mind that these rankings are really just a starting point. I don't adjust the rankings to account for head-to-head matchups or common opponents or anything, so feel free to adjust as you see fit.

I'm handing out the 'A' bid to the team with the highest rating. I simply can't (and won't) go through every conference to determine the leader at this point in the season. And since the Pool A bid goes to the conference tournament champion (except in the UAA), I'm OK with this shortcut.

There are some pretty whacked out things in these rankings right now. Check out John Carroll and Adrian in the Great Lakes. They're getting tons of love for their sky-high SOS, but the committee won't like their low winning percentages. Please remember that this is just raw WP and SOS data combined in a customary RPI calculation. It's just a starting point. The real rankings won't follow this list particularly closely.

When the official rankings come out on Wednesday, the NCAA will have ranked three fewer teams per region. I like to 'rank' more than they do so that we can get a picture of who might also be in the mix (not implying that my list is complete).

Enjoy.


Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
NE1WilliamsNESCAC0.9440.5880.6771AC 17-118-10-019-1
NE2MiddleburyNESCAC0.9290.5600.6533C113-115-10-016-1
NE3WPINEWMAC0.8950.5350.62511AC 17-217-20-017-3
NE4ElmsNECC0.7500.5760.62013AC 12-413-50-013-5
NE5Western ConnecticutLEC0.8890.5230.61414AC 16-217-20-017-2
NE6BowdoinNESCAC0.7060.5730.60617C512-512-50-012-5
NE7Rhode Island CollegeLEC0.6320.5910.60124C1012-712-70-012-7
NE8BeckerNECC0.8420.5060.59038C1516-316-30-016-3
NE9Trinity (Conn.)NESCAC0.5260.5900.57455C2710-911-90-011-9
NE10Plymouth StateLEC0.4710.5960.56469C398-99-90-09-10
NE11Eastern ConnecticutLEC0.7330.5070.56370C4011-412-50-013-5
NE12Roger WilliamsCCC0.6320.5380.56175A12-712-70-012-7
NE13Keene StateLEC0.7370.4980.55781C4614-514-50-014-5
NE14Connecticut CollegeNESCAC0.4740.5820.55587C529-109-100-010-10
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
EA1Oswego StateSUNYAC0.8240.5210.59728AwC14-314-30-014-3
EA2IthacaE80.7780.5300.59235AwC14-415-40-015-4
EA3RochesterUAA0.8130.5160.59037AwC13-314-40-014-4
EA4StevensE80.7060.5350.57750C2412-512-50-012-5
EA5HobartLL0.8240.4870.57157A14-314-40-014-4
EA6SkidmoreLL0.6470.5350.56371C4111-611-70-011-7
EA7Plattsburgh StateSUNYAC0.7860.4870.56274C4311-312-50-012-5
EA8ClarksonLL0.4620.5890.55880C456-77-80-010-8
EA9Buffalo StateSUNYAC0.5710.5500.55586C518-610-60-011-6
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
AT1RamapoNJAC0.8820.5090.60321AwC15-216-30-016-4
AT2KeanNJAC0.7650.5480.60222C813-414-50-014-6
AT3Staten IslandCUNYAC0.8130.5220.59530AwC13-314-40-014-4
AT4Richard StocktonNJAC0.6000.5880.59136C149-610-70-010-7
AT5Mount St. MarySKY0.7060.5180.56566A12-513-50-013-5
AT6Merchant MarineLAND0.5630.5580.55977A9-710-90-011-9
AT7Montclair StateNJAC0.7140.5030.55585C5010-413-40-016-4
AT8Rutgers-NewarkNJAC0.7500.4870.55394C5915-515-50-015-5
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
MA1DeSalesMACF0.7060.5580.59529AwC12-512-50-014-5
MA2ElizabethtownMACC0.8240.5170.59432AwC14-315-30-015-3
MA3CabriniCSAC0.7650.5310.58939AwC13-413-40-013-4
MA4KeystoneCSAC0.8240.5060.58645C2114-314-30-014-3
MA5La RocheAMCC0.8890.4840.58646Abub16-216-20-017-2
MA6WesleyCAC0.7860.5080.57751Abub11-313-60-013-6
MA7Delaware ValleyMACF0.5630.5710.56960C319-711-70-012-7
MA8LycomingMACC0.5000.5900.56864C357-79-70-012-7
MA9SalisburyCAC0.3750.6280.56567C376-107-100-07-11
MA10Franklin and MarshallCC0.7650.4890.55879A13-415-40-015-4
MA11St. Marys (Md.)CAC0.8130.4710.55783C4813-315-30-015-4
MA12EasternMACF0.6250.5310.55589C5410-610-60-011-6
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
SO1Virginia WesleyanODAC0.9410.5150.62112AC 16-116-10-018-1
SO2Randolph-MaconODAC0.8420.5260.60518C616-317-30-017-3
SO3Christopher NewportUSAC0.6920.5750.60519AwC9-413-50-013-5
SO4Texas-DallasASC0.7650.5450.60025AwC13-414-40-014-4
SO5Maryville (Tenn.)GSAC0.6000.5920.59431C129-612-60-013-7
SO6East Texas BaptistASC0.7220.5450.58940C1613-513-50-013-6
SO7RandolphODAC0.6920.5470.58347C229-49-50-013-5
SO8FerrumUSAC0.8820.4650.56959C3015-217-20-018-2
SO9GuilfordODAC0.6500.5400.56863C3413-713-70-013-7
SO10North Carolina WesleyanUSAC0.7140.5170.56665C3610-411-40-014-6
SO11CentreSCAC0.8130.4790.56273A13-314-30-015-3
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
GL1HopeMIAA0.9090.5460.6367AC 10-110-20-014-5
GL2WoosterNCAC1.0000.5040.6289AC 16-017-00-019-0
GL3John CarrollOAC0.6470.5830.59926AwC11-612-60-013-6
GL4AdrianMIAA0.5560.6040.59234C135-48-50-010-8
GL5WabashNCAC0.8330.5060.58843C1915-315-30-016-3
GL6Ohio WesleyanNCAC0.5790.5750.57652C2511-811-80-012-8
GL7ThielPrAC0.7690.5120.57653Abub10-310-30-013-6
GL8BethanyPrAC0.7370.4970.55782C4714-514-50-014-5
GL9CalvinMIAA0.7000.5040.55393C587-37-60-010-10
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
MW1AugustanaCCIW1.0000.5120.6348AC 18-018-00-019-0
MW2North Central (Ill.)CCIW0.5630.6290.61216C49-710-80-010-9
MW3Concordia (Wis.)NATHC0.8820.4970.59333AwC15-215-20-017-3
MW4Washington U.UAA0.5880.5880.58842C1810-710-80-010-8
MW5HanoverHCAC0.7060.5420.58348Abub12-513-50-013-5
MW6Illinois WesleyanCCIW0.7220.5320.58049C2313-514-50-014-5
MW7EdgewoodNATHC0.7650.5130.57654C2613-413-40-013-6
MW8Milwaukee EngineeringNATHC0.7220.5170.56862C3313-514-50-014-5
MW9ManchesterHCAC0.7060.5150.56372C4212-512-50-013-6
MW10Wheaton (Ill.)CCIW0.5710.5570.56176C448-612-60-013-6
MW11Illinois CollegeMWC0.6000.5450.55978A9-69-60-011-6
Reg.RankTeamConferenceWPwSOSwRPINat.PoolStatusREGD3vRROOVR
WE1UW-Stevens PointWIAC0.8420.5920.6542AC 16-317-30-017-3
WE2ChapmanIND0.9330.5550.6494B114-115-10-017-3
WE3UW-River FallsWIAC0.9410.5390.6405C216-116-10-018-2
WE4Lewis and ClarkNWC0.7270.6090.6396AC 8-38-30-014-5
WE5St. ThomasMIAC0.9410.5220.62710AC 16-116-10-017-1
WE6WhitworthNWC1.0000.4850.61315C319-019-00-019-0
WE7Gustavus AdolphusMIAC0.7060.5710.60420C712-512-50-012-6
WE8AugsburgMIAC0.6670.5800.60223C912-612-60-012-6
WE9CarletonMIAC0.6670.5760.59927C1110-510-50-010-7
WE10HamlineMIAC0.5290.6080.58841C179-89-80-09-8
WE11WhitmanNWC0.6670.5590.58644C208-49-40-013-6
WE12Pacific LutheranNWC0.7140.5230.57156C2810-410-40-012-6

KEY:
WP - Winning percentage
wSOS - Strength of schedule (including home/neutral/away adjustment)

NAT - National rank of in-region RPI

C - "Guaranteed" Pool C (within top 18 RPI in nation)
wC - Within Pool C position (within RPI range of current top 18 Pool C candidates)
bub - Pool C bubble (within RPI range of current top 28 Pool C candidates)
number - Current RPI rank among Pool C candidates.

REG - record versus in-region opponents
D3 - record versus all D3 opponents
vRRO - record versus regionally ranked opponents
OVR - overall record

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