| Game | Seventeen |
|---|---|
| Who | Trine Thunder |
| Where | Van Noord Arena |
| When | Sat. - 3:30 PM |
| Web Video | Video |
| Web Audio | Audio |
| LiveStats | Stats |
| Tickets | $5, $3 |
When We Last Met
Trine was muddling around the bottom of the standings last year, but they had the Knights on the ropes at the Van Noord Arena in early February. Trine took a two point lead into half time, and even though Calvin quickly regained the advantage in the early goings of the second half, the Thuder didn't go away.
Trine trailed by only three points with 4:45 remaining in the game, but they wouldn't score another basket for over four minutes. Calvin used two baskets and five free throws to stretch the lead to 12, the biggest lead of the game. Trine finally put in a layup with under 30 seconds on the clock, and the game ended with a 73-63 Calvin victory.
Ian Jackson, Scott Rogers, and Wes Weir combined for 54 of Trine's 63 points.
Matchup
| Matchup | Calvin | Trine | Advantage |
|---|---|---|---|
| Calvin eFG% vs. Trine DeFG% | 0.514 | 0.529 | Calvin |
| Calvin DeFG% vs. Trine eFG% | 0.490 | 0.537 | Trine |
| Calvin TOr vs. Trine DTOr | 0.21 | 0.21 | - |
| Calvin DTOr vs. Trine TOr | 0.18 | 0.20 | - |
| Calvin ORb% vs. Trine DRb% | 0.367 | 0.672 | Calvin |
| Calvin DRb% vs. Trine ORb% | 0.697 | 0.295 | Calvin |
| Calvin FTr vs. Trine DFTr | 0.32 | 0.37 | - |
| Calvin DFTr vs. Trine FTr | 0.31 | 0.36 | Calvin |
| Calvin OEff vs. Trine DEff | 107.3 | 104.5 | Calvin |
| Calvin DEff vs. Trine OEff | 103.3 | 104.5 | Trine |
Trine has an offense that can score points in bunches, but their defense is apparently suspect.
They were 8-3 coming into league play, but their schedule was soft, and we're finding out that they're probably not a very good team. Their statistics in the table above can likewise be taken with a few grains of salt.
Trine is excellent at turning possessions into points; it could be another disappoiting day if the Knights get turnover happy.
Calvin would be well served to play a physical style defense on Saturday. Trine as a team shoots only 0.657 from the free throw stripe, and their leading scorer, Ian Jackson, shoots only 0.592. Second leading scorer, Scott Rogers is better, but he still is only hitting at a 0.676 clip. Make the shot difficult and don't worry about fouling. Don't necessarily go into 'hack-a-Shaq' mode (that would be going overboard), but there's no reason to take it easy on these guys.
Sure To Be Wrong Prediction
Calvin by 8
Need to win level: High
Expected to win level: High
Massey Prediction: Calvin 86, Trine 76 (85% chance of victory)
